Football · 2. Bundesliga · Germany
Holstein Kiel vs SG Dynamo Dresden
Sunday, 25 October 2026
Upcoming. The scheduled start is still ahead. Match status has not been confirmed live.Match preview
The model makes SG Dynamo Dresden favourites at 40% (Holstein Kiel 38%, draw 22%). That rests on SG Dynamo Dresden sitting 11th in the table to Holstein Kiel's 18th. Holstein Kiel lead the head-to-head 8-1, which keeps it from being more one-sided. It puts over 2.5 goals at 58% and both teams scoring at 59%.
Key facts
- They last met on 17 May 2026, when SG Dynamo Dresden won 2-1.
- SG Dynamo Dresden concede 2.17 goals a game away from home.
Germany•2. Bundesliga
vs
Sunday, 25 October 2026 at 15:30
Upcoming. The scheduled start is still ahead. Match status has not been confirmed live.H2H: 8-1-1
Last 10 matches
1010
12/1217/17
1.201.70
1.201.70
6/108/10
5/104/10
8/107/10
4/106/10
2/103/10
4/102/10
7/109/10
4/106/10
5/105/10
Home & away form · from last 10 matches
Holstein Kiel at homesg Dynamo Dresden away
56
1/51/6
4/52/6
0/53/6
1.602.00
1.202.17
4/54/6
3/53/6
1/52/6
4/55/6
2/54/6
1/51/6
1/52/6
3/54/6
4/53/6
Model Prediction
Expected Goals
Holstein Kiel: 1.49
Expected Goals
sg Dynamo Dresden: 1.55
Holstein Kiel
38%
Draw
22%
sg Dynamo Dresden
40%
Over 2.5: 58%
BTTS: 59%
Quality: high
Market Odds (1X2)
Vig 5.5%
1 — Holstein Kiel
2.15▲
Implied 44%
Edge -6.1%
X
3.90
Implied 24%
Edge -2.3%
2 — SG Dynamo Dresden
3.00▼
Implied 32%
Edge +8.4%
Edge = model probability − market implied probability. Positive edge means the model rates that outcome higher than the bookmaker.
Team 1 Form
Holstein Kiel · # = league position now
16 Oct2026
Holstein Kiel#18 vs Hertha Berlin#1
0-0D
09 Oct2026
Braunschweig#17 vs Holstein Kiel#18
1-0L
03 Oct2026
Holstein Kiel#18 vs Viborg#3
3-1W
19 Sept2026
Holstein Kiel#18 vs Vfl Osnabruck#12
1-1D
13 Sept2026
Heidenheim#6 vs Holstein Kiel#18
1-0L
05 Sept2026
Holstein Kiel#18 vs Nurnberg#2
2-2D
30 Aug2026
Magdeburg#4 vs Holstein Kiel#18
2-0L
22 Aug2026
Munich 1860 vs Holstein Kiel#18
0-2W
14 Aug2026
Holstein Kiel#18 vs St. Pauli#7
2-2D
08 Aug2026
Darmstadt#16 vs Holstein Kiel#18
2-2D
Team 2 Form
sg Dynamo Dresden · # = league position now
18 Oct2026
sg Dynamo Dresden#11 vs Magdeburg#4
2-0W
10 Oct2026
Vfl Osnabruck#12 vs sg Dynamo Dresden#11
1-1D
02 Oct2026
Teplice#8 vs sg Dynamo Dresden#11
2-0L
19 Sept2026
sg Dynamo Dresden#11 vs Hertha Berlin#1
1-2L
12 Sept2026
Braunschweig#17 vs sg Dynamo Dresden#11
2-2D
05 Sept2026
sg Dynamo Dresden#11 vs Bochum#13
1-2L
29 Aug2026
Heidenheim#6 vs sg Dynamo Dresden#11
5-3L
23 Aug2026
Westfalia Rhynern vs sg Dynamo Dresden#11
0-6W
16 Aug2026
sg Dynamo Dresden#11 vs Darmstadt#16
1-0W
09 Aug2026
Nurnberg#2 vs sg Dynamo Dresden#11
3-0L
Head-to-Head
Last 10 · # = league position now
17 May2026
sg Dynamo Dresden#11 vs Holstein Kiel#18
2-1•
20 Dec2025
Holstein Kiel#18 vs sg Dynamo Dresden#11
2-1•
16 Apr2022
sg Dynamo Dresden#11 vs Holstein Kiel#18
0-0•
05 Nov2021
Holstein Kiel#18 vs sg Dynamo Dresden#11
2-1•
18 Jun2020
Holstein Kiel#18 vs sg Dynamo Dresden#11
2-0•
30 Nov2019
sg Dynamo Dresden#11 vs Holstein Kiel#18
1-2•
12 May2019
Holstein Kiel#18 vs sg Dynamo Dresden#11
3-0•
09 Dec2018
sg Dynamo Dresden#11 vs Holstein Kiel#18
0-2•
14 Apr2018
sg Dynamo Dresden#11 vs Holstein Kiel#18
0-4•
05 Nov2017
Holstein Kiel#18 vs sg Dynamo Dresden#11
3-0•
Upcoming matches
# = league position now
Holstein Kiel
sg Dynamo Dresden
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