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Football · DFB Pokal · Germany

SG Dynamo Dresden vs Schalke

Wednesday, 28 October 2026

Match preview

The model makes Schalke favourites at 47% (SG Dynamo Dresden 31%, draw 22%). That rests on 4 wins from the last 6 meetings to 1. Bookmakers give Schalke about 50% once their margin is removed, close to the model's view. It puts over 2.5 goals at 61% and both teams scoring at 56%.

Key facts

They last met on 7 Feb 2026, when it finished 2-2.
5 of the last 6 meetings had three or more goals.

Germany•DFB Pokal

sg Dynamo Dresden(3)

W6d

D14d

L22d

L35d

D42d

L49d

L56d

W62d

W69d

L76d

3W · 2D · 5L

Schalke(5)

D0d

L7d

L13d

W21d

W30d

D34d

W43d

D49d

L55d

W61d

4W · 3D · 3L

Wednesday, 28 October 2026 at 20:00

H2H: 3-2-5

Last 10 matches

1010

17/1715/11

1.701.50

1.701.10

8/105/10

4/103/10

7/106/10

6/104/10

3/104/10

2/105/10

9/105/10

6/105/10

5/104/10

Home & away form · from last 10 matches

sg Dynamo Dresden at homeSchalke away

2/44/7

0/41/7

2/42/7

1.252.14

1.001.43

4/45/7

1/43/7

0/43/7

2/45/7

2/44/7

2/42/7

0/42/7

2/45/7

2/44/7

Model Prediction

Expected Goals

sg Dynamo Dresden: 1.28

Expected Goals

Schalke: 1.62

sg Dynamo Dresden

31%

Draw

22%

Schalke

47%

Over 2.5: 61%

BTTS: 56%

Quality: high

Market Odds (1X2)

Vig 6.8%

1 — SG Dynamo Dresden

3.70▲

Implied 25%

Edge +5.7%

3.80▲

Implied 25%

Edge -2.6%

2 — Schalke

1.87▼

Implied 50%

Edge -3.1%

Edge = model probability − market implied probability. Positive edge means the model rates that outcome higher than the bookmaker.

Team 1 Form

sg Dynamo Dresden · # = league position now

18 Oct2026

sg Dynamo Dresden#11 vs Magdeburg#4

2-0W

10 Oct2026

Vfl Osnabruck#12 vs sg Dynamo Dresden#11

1-1D

02 Oct2026

Teplice#8 vs sg Dynamo Dresden#11

2-0L

19 Sept2026

sg Dynamo Dresden#11 vs Hertha Berlin#1

1-2L

12 Sept2026

Braunschweig#17 vs sg Dynamo Dresden#11

2-2D

05 Sept2026

sg Dynamo Dresden#11 vs Bochum#13

1-2L

29 Aug2026

Heidenheim#6 vs sg Dynamo Dresden#11

5-3L

23 Aug2026

Westfalia Rhynern vs sg Dynamo Dresden#11

0-6W

16 Aug2026

sg Dynamo Dresden#11 vs Darmstadt#16

1-0W

09 Aug2026

Nurnberg#2 vs sg Dynamo Dresden#11

3-0L

Team 2 Form

Schalke · # = league position now

24 Oct2026

fc Koln#12 vs Schalke#15

0-0D

17 Oct2026

Schalke#15 vs Mainz#5

0-1L

11 Oct2026

Freiburg#3 vs Schalke#15

2-1L

03 Oct2026

a. Lustenau#10 vs Schalke#15

0-1W

24 Sept2026

Oberhausen vs Schalke#15

2-5W

20 Sept2026

Schalke#15 vs Elversberg#6

0-0D

11 Sept2026

Union Berlin#17 vs Schalke#15

1-3W

05 Sept2026

Schalke#15 vs Bayern Munich#1

0-0D

30 Aug2026

Augsburg#10 vs Schalke#15

3-0L

24 Aug2026

Hallescher vs Schalke#15

2-5W

Head-to-Head

Last 10 · # = league position now

07 Feb2026

Schalke#15 vs sg Dynamo Dresden#11

2-2•

31 Aug2025