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Football · Premier League · England

Newcastle vs Aston Villa

Saturday, 17 October 2026

Played. Source reports: FINISHED.
Final score
Newcastle0-1Aston Villa
1ST HALF
0-1
2ND HALF
0-0

Prediction and result

Before kickoff, the model made Newcastle favourites at 41% (Aston Villa 39%, draw 20%). That rests on 5 wins from the last 10 meetings to 3. It put over 2.5 goals at 71% and both teams scoring at 66%. Aston Villa won 1-0, against the model's 41% for Newcastle.

Key facts before the match

  • Aston Villa are unbeaten in 5 matches.
  • They last met on 14 Feb 2026, when Newcastle won 3-1.
  • 8 of the last 10 meetings had three or more goals.
England•Premier League
L15d
W38d
L43d
W49d
D52d
W59d
W62d
D65d
D72d
L73d
4W · 3D · 3L
vs
W13d
D17d
W25d
W38d
W41d
L45d
W49d
D52d
L57d
L65d
5W · 2D · 3L
Saturday, 17 October 2026 at 19:30
Played. Source reports: FINISHED.
Final score
Newcastle0-1Aston Villa
1ST HALF
0-1
2ND HALF
0-0
H2H: 5-2-3
Home & away form · from last 10 matches
Newcastle at homeAston Villa away
66
2/64/6
3/61/6
1/61/6
1.832.00
1.671.67
6/64/6
4/64/6
1/64/6
6/65/6
4/63/6
0/61/6
0/62/6
5/65/6
6/64/6
Model Prediction
Expected Goals
Newcastle: 1.82
Expected Goals
Aston Villa: 1.78
Newcastle
41%
Draw
20%
Aston Villa
39%
Over 2.5: 71%
BTTS: 66%
Quality: high
Team 1 Form
Newcastle · # = league position now
12 Oct2026
Coventry#19 vs Newcastle#8
4-1L
19 Sept2026
Newcastle#8 vs Hull#10
2-1W
14 Sept2026
Leeds#7 vs Newcastle#8
4-1L
08 Sept2026
Millwall#13 vs Newcastle#8
0-1W
05 Sept2026
Newcastle#8 vs Bournemouth#13
2-2D
29 Aug2026
Tottenham#14 vs Newcastle#8
0-2W
26 Aug2026
Newcastle#8 vs West Brom#5
3-2W
23 Aug2026
Newcastle#8 vs Liverpool#4
2-2D
16 Aug2026
Newcastle#8 vs Strasbourg#16
1-1D
15 Aug2026
Newcastle#8 vs Bayer Leverkusen#4
1-2L
Team 2 Form
Aston Villa · # = league position now
14 Oct2026
Aston Villa#9 vs Fenerbahce#3
6-0W
10 Oct2026
Aston Villa#9 vs Brentford#6
2-2D
02 Oct2026
Sevilla#6 vs Aston Villa#9
1-3W
19 Sept2026
Tottenham#14 vs Aston Villa#9
2-3W
16 Sept2026
Coventry#19 vs Aston Villa#9
1-3W
12 Sept2026
Aston Villa#9 vs Nottingham#18
1-2L
08 Sept2026
Club Brugge kv#2 vs Aston Villa#9
2-3W
05 Sept2026
Hull#10 vs Aston Villa#9
0-0D
31 Aug2026
Aston Villa#9 vs Arsenal#2
0-1L
23 Aug2026
Brighton#3 vs Aston Villa#9
4-0L
Head-to-Head
Last 10 · # = league position now
14 Feb2026
Aston Villa#9 vs Newcastle#8
1-3•
25 Jan2026
Newcastle#8 vs Aston Villa#9
0-2•
16 Aug2025
Aston Villa#9 vs Newcastle#8
0-0•
19 Apr2025
Aston Villa#9 vs Newcastle#8
4-1•
26 Dec2024
Newcastle#8 vs Aston Villa#9
3-0•
30 Jan2024
Aston Villa#9 vs Newcastle#8
1-3•
12 Aug2023
Newcastle#8 vs Aston Villa#9
5-1•
24 Jul2023
Newcastle#8 vs Aston Villa#9
3-3•
15 Apr2023
Aston Villa#9 vs Newcastle#8
3-0•
29 Oct2022
Newcastle#8 vs Aston Villa#9
4-0•

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