Football · EFL Cup · England
Everton vs Newcastle
Thursday, 29 October 2026
Upcoming. The scheduled start is still ahead. Match status has not been confirmed live.Match preview
The model makes Everton favourites at 51% (Newcastle 26%, draw 23%). That rests on expected goals of 1.59 to 1.04 and 5 wins from the last 10 meetings to 3. It puts over 2.5 goals at 48% and both teams scoring at 55%.
Key facts
- Everton kept 5 clean sheets in their last 10 matches.
- They last met on 12 Aug 2026, when Everton won 3-1.
- Newcastle concede 2 goals a game away from home.
England•EFL Cup
Everton(5)
L7d
D13d
W35d
W38d
D42d
D48d
D56d
W59d
W63d
D70d
Newcastle(3)
L7d
L12d
W35d
L40d
W46d
D49d
W56d
W59d
D62d
D69d
Thursday, 29 October 2026 at 22:45
Upcoming. The scheduled start is still ahead. Match status has not been confirmed live.H2H: 5-2-3
Last 10 matches
1010
14/815/17
1.401.50
0.801.70
8/109/10
4/105/10
5/108/10
3/105/10
5/102/10
2/101/10
7/108/10
3/106/10
4/107/10
Home & away form · from last 10 matches
Everton at homeNewcastle away
64
3/62/4
2/60/4
1/62/4
1.171.25
0.832.00
5/64/4
2/61/4
0/60/4
3/62/4
2/62/4
3/62/4
1/60/4
1/62/4
2/62/4
Model Prediction
Expected Goals
Everton: 1.59
Expected Goals
Newcastle: 1.04
Everton
51%
Draw
23%
Newcastle
26%
Over 2.5: 48%
BTTS: 55%
Quality: high
Market Odds (1X2)
Vig 6.2%
1 — Everton
2.35▼
Implied 40%
Edge +10.9%
X
3.50
Implied 27%
Edge -3.9%
2 — Newcastle
2.85▼
Implied 33%
Edge -7.0%
Edge = model probability − market implied probability. Positive edge means the model rates that outcome higher than the bookmaker.
Team 1 Form
Everton · # = league position now
17 Oct2026
Everton#8 vs Chelsea#4
0-2L
11 Oct2026
Hull#9 vs Everton#8
2-2D
19 Sept2026
Everton#8 vs Ipswich#10
1-0W
16 Sept2026
Everton#8 vs Wolves#7
1-0W
12 Sept2026
Tottenham#16 vs Everton#8
0-0D
06 Sept2026
Everton#8 vs Manchester Utd#13
2-2D
29 Aug2026
Bournemouth#15 vs Everton#8
1-1D
26 Aug2026
Preston#24 vs Everton#8
0-4W
22 Aug2026
Everton#8 vs Crystal Palace#14
2-0W
15 Aug2026
Everton#8 vs Lille#4
1-1D
Team 2 Form
Newcastle · # = league position now
17 Oct2026
Newcastle#11 vs Aston Villa#12
0-1L
12 Oct2026
Coventry#17 vs Newcastle#11
4-1L
19 Sept2026
Newcastle#11 vs Hull#9
2-1W
14 Sept2026
Leeds#7 vs Newcastle#11
4-1L
08 Sept2026
Millwall#12 vs Newcastle#11
0-1W
05 Sept2026
Newcastle#11 vs Bournemouth#15
2-2D
29 Aug2026
Tottenham#16 vs Newcastle#11
0-2W
26 Aug2026
Newcastle#11 vs West Brom#5
3-2W
23 Aug2026
Newcastle#11 vs Liverpool#5
2-2D
16 Aug2026
Newcastle#11 vs Strasbourg#14
1-1D
Head-to-Head
Last 10 · # = league position now
12 Aug2026
Newcastle#11 vs Everton#8
1-3•
28 Feb2026
Newcastle#11 vs Everton#8
2-3•
29 Nov2025
Everton#8 vs Newcastle#11
1-4•
25 May2025
Newcastle#11 vs Everton#8
0-1•
05 Oct2024
Everton#8 vs Newcastle#11
0-0•
02 Apr2024
Newcastle#11 vs Everton#8
1-1•
07 Dec2023
Everton#8 vs Newcastle#11
3-0•
27 Apr2023
Everton#8 vs Newcastle#11
1-4•
19 Oct2022
Newcastle#11 vs Everton#8
1-0•
17 Mar2022
Everton#8 vs Newcastle#11
1-0•
Upcoming matches
# = league position now
Everton
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