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Football · Premier League · England

Crystal Palace vs Newcastle

Sunday, 25 October 2026

Upcoming. The scheduled start is still ahead. Match status has not been confirmed live.

Match preview

The model makes Crystal Palace favourites at 46% (Newcastle 34%, draw 20%). Newcastle lead the head-to-head 4-2, which keeps it from being more one-sided. Bookmakers give Crystal Palace about 33% once their margin is removed, so the model is more confident than the market. It puts over 2.5 goals at 64% and both teams scoring at 58%.

Key facts

  • Crystal Palace are 14th in Premier League on 7 points from 7 games; Newcastle are 11th on 8.
  • They last met on 12 Apr 2026, when Crystal Palace won 2-1.
  • Newcastle concede 2 goals a game away from home.
England•Premier League
Crystal Palace(2)
Rank 14 · 7 pts
D2d
L6d
L9d
W13d
L21d
D34d
W37d
L42d
W46d
W49d
4W · 2D · 4L
vs
Newcastle(4)
Rank 11 · 8 pts
L7d
L12d
W35d
L40d
W46d
D49d
W56d
W59d
D62d
D69d
4W · 3D · 3L
Sunday, 25 October 2026 at 17:00
Upcoming. The scheduled start is still ahead. Match status has not been confirmed live.
H2H: 2-4-4
Last 10 matches
1010
19/1815/17
1.901.50
1.801.70
7/109/10
7/105/10
7/108/10
6/105/10
3/102/10
3/101/10
9/108/10
8/106/10
5/107/10
Home & away form · from last 10 matches
Crystal Palace at homeNewcastle away
54
3/52/4
0/50/4
2/52/4
2.401.25
1.202.00
4/54/4
4/51/4
3/50/4
3/52/4
2/52/4
2/52/4
1/50/4
4/52/4
2/52/4
Model Prediction
Expected Goals
Crystal Palace: 1.87
Expected Goals
Newcastle: 1.57
Crystal Palace
46%
Draw
20%
Newcastle
34%
Over 2.5: 64%
BTTS: 58%
Quality: high
Market Odds (1X2)
Vig 5.0%
1 — Crystal Palace
2.90▲
Implied 33%
Edge +13.2%
X
3.70▲
Implied 26%
Edge -5.7%
2 — Newcastle
2.30▼
Implied 41%
Edge -7.4%
Edge = model probability − market implied probability. Positive edge means the model rates that outcome higher than the bookmaker.
Team 1 Form
Crystal Palace · # = league position now
22 Oct2026
Besiktas#5 vs Crystal Palace#14
2-2D
18 Oct2026
Brighton#3 vs Crystal Palace#14
5-0L
15 Oct2026
Lyon#1 vs Crystal Palace#14
3-2L
11 Oct2026
Crystal Palace#14 vs Nottingham#19
3-1W
03 Oct2026
Crystal Palace#14 vs Bristol City#16
0-2L
20 Sept2026
Leeds#7 vs Crystal Palace#14
0-0D
17 Sept2026
Crystal Palace#14 vs Lech Poznan#2
4-0W
12 Sept2026
Crystal Palace#14 vs Ipswich#10
2-3L
08 Sept2026
Crystal Palace#14 vs Middlesbrough#3
3-0W
05 Sept2026
Fulham#18 vs Crystal Palace#14
2-3W
Team 2 Form
Newcastle · # = league position now
17 Oct2026
Newcastle#11 vs Aston Villa#12
0-1L
12 Oct2026
Coventry#17 vs Newcastle#11
4-1L
19 Sept2026
Newcastle#11 vs Hull#9
2-1W
14 Sept2026
Leeds#7 vs Newcastle#11
4-1L
08 Sept2026
Millwall#12 vs Newcastle#11
0-1W
05 Sept2026
Newcastle#11 vs Bournemouth#15
2-2D
29 Aug2026
Tottenham#16 vs Newcastle#11
0-2W
26 Aug2026
Newcastle#11 vs West Brom#5
3-2W
23 Aug2026
Newcastle#11 vs Liverpool#5
2-2D
16 Aug2026
Newcastle#11 vs Strasbourg#14
1-1D
Head-to-Head
Last 10 · # = league position now
12 Apr2026
Crystal Palace#14 vs Newcastle#11
2-1•
04 Jan2026
Newcastle#11 vs Crystal Palace#14
2-0•
16 Apr2025
Newcastle#11 vs Crystal Palace#14
5-0•
30 Nov2024
Crystal Palace#14 vs Newcastle#11
1-1•
24 Apr2024
Crystal Palace#14 vs Newcastle#11
2-0•
21 Oct2023
Newcastle#11 vs Crystal Palace#14
4-0•
21 Jan2023
Crystal Palace#14 vs Newcastle#11
0-0•
09 Nov2022
Newcastle#11 vs Crystal Palace#14
0-0•
03 Sept2022
Newcastle#11 vs Crystal Palace#14
0-0•
20 Apr2022
Newcastle#11 vs Crystal Palace#14
1-0•
Upcoming matches
# = league position now

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