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Football · Bundesliga · Germany

Mainz vs Werder Bremen

Saturday, 24 October 2026

Played. Source reports: FINISHED.
Final score
Mainz2-3Werder Bremen
1ST HALF
1-2
2ND HALF
1-1

Prediction and result

Before kickoff, the model made Mainz favourites at 61% (Werder Bremen 22%, draw 17%). That rests on expected goals of 2.57 to 1.48 and 7 wins in Mainz's last 10 matches to 3 for Werder Bremen. Werder Bremen lead the head-to-head 5-3, which keeps it from being more one-sided. It put over 2.5 goals at 69% and both teams scoring at 58%. Werder Bremen won 3-2, against the model's 61% for Mainz.

Key facts before the match

  • They last met on 15 Mar 2026, when Mainz won 2-0.
Germany•Bundesliga
W7d
L14d
W21d
W35d
L42d
W48d
D56d
W62d
W70d
W77d
7W · 1D · 2L
vs
D7d
D15d
L22d
W35d
D42d
W49d
L55d
W63d
L70d
D77d
3W · 4D · 3L
Saturday, 24 October 2026 at 16:30
Played. Source reports: FINISHED.
Final score
Mainz2-3Werder Bremen
1ST HALF
1-2
2ND HALF
1-1
H2H: 3-2-5
Home & away form · from last 10 matches
Mainz at homeWerder Bremen away
55
2/51/5
1/52/5
2/52/5
2.001.40
1.602.80
4/54/5
3/52/5
2/51/5
3/54/5
2/53/5
2/51/5
1/51/5
4/54/5
3/53/5
Model Prediction
Expected Goals
Mainz: 2.57
Expected Goals
Werder Bremen: 1.48
Mainz
61%
Draw
17%
Werder Bremen
22%
Over 2.5: 69%
BTTS: 58%
Quality: high
Team 1 Form
Mainz · # = league position now
17 Oct2026
Schalke#15 vs Mainz#5
0-1W
10 Oct2026
Mainz#5 vs Bayer Leverkusen#4
3-4L
03 Oct2026
Mannheim vs Mainz#5
0-3W
19 Sept2026
b. Monchengladbach#18 vs Mainz#5
3-4W
12 Sept2026
Mainz#5 vs Eintracht Frankfurt#11
1-3L
06 Sept2026
Hamburger sv#9 vs Mainz#5
0-5W
29 Aug2026
Mainz#5 vs Paderborn#16
0-0D
23 Aug2026
Krieschow vs Mainz#5
0-9W
15 Aug2026
Mainz#5 vs Bournemouth#15
2-1W
08 Aug2026
Mainz#5 vs Paris fc#3
4-0W
Team 2 Form
Werder Bremen · # = league position now
17 Oct2026
Werder Bremen#8 vs Paderborn#16
2-2D
09 Oct2026
Dortmund#2 vs Werder Bremen#8
2-2D
02 Oct2026
Twente#5 vs Werder Bremen#8
7-0L
19 Sept2026
Werder Bremen#8 vs Augsburg#10
3-2W
12 Sept2026
fc Koln#12 vs Werder Bremen#8
1-1D
05 Sept2026
Werder Bremen#8 vs rb Leipzig#7
3-1W
30 Aug2026
Freiburg#3 vs Werder Bremen#8
4-1L
22 Aug2026
Luneburger Hansa vs Werder Bremen#8
0-3W
15 Aug2026
Werder Bremen#8 vs Auxerre#13
0-1L
08 Aug2026
Werder Bremen#8 vs Paderborn#16
2-2D
Head-to-Head
Last 10 · # = league position now
15 Mar2026
Werder Bremen#8 vs Mainz#5
0-2•
01 Nov2025
Mainz#5 vs Werder Bremen#8
1-1•
31 Jan2025
Werder Bremen#8 vs Mainz#5
1-0•
15 Sept2024
Mainz#5 vs Werder Bremen#8
1-2•
03 Feb2024
Mainz#5 vs Werder Bremen#8
0-1•
02 Sept2023
Werder Bremen#8 vs Mainz#5
4-0•
08 Apr2023
Mainz#5 vs Werder Bremen#8
2-2•
15 Oct2022
Werder Bremen#8 vs Mainz#5
0-2•
21 Apr2021
Werder Bremen#8 vs Mainz#5
0-1•
19 Dec2020
Mainz#5 vs Werder Bremen#8
0-1•

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