Football · DFB Pokal · Germany
Bochum vs Mainz
Tuesday, 27 October 2026
Upcoming. The scheduled start is still ahead. Match status has not been confirmed live.Match preview
The model makes Mainz favourites at 68% (Bochum 16%, draw 16%). That rests on expected goals of 2.40 to 1.07, 6 wins in Mainz's last 10 matches to 4 for Bochum and 6 wins from the last 10 meetings to 2. Bookmakers give Mainz about 53% once their margin is removed, so the model is more confident than the market. It puts over 2.5 goals at 65% and both teams scoring at 60%.
Key facts
- Mainz kept 5 clean sheets in their last 10 matches.
- They last met on 10 May 2025, when Mainz won 4-1.
- Mainz have scored in all of their last 5 away games.
Germany•DFB Pokal
Bochum(2)
D1d
L7d
L13d
W22d
L34d
D42d
W49d
L57d
W62d
W71d
Mainz(6)
L0d
W7d
L14d
W21d
W35d
L42d
W48d
D56d
W62d
W70d
Tuesday, 27 October 2026 at 20:00
Upcoming. The scheduled start is still ahead. Match status has not been confirmed live.H2H: 2-2-6
Last 10 matches
1010
12/1130/14
1.203.00
1.101.40
7/109/10
3/107/10
9/105/10
2/104/10
1/105/10
3/101/10
7/108/10
4/108/10
6/105/10
Home & away form · from last 10 matches
Bochum at homeMainz away
55
1/55/5
2/50/5
2/50/5
1.204.40
1.000.60
3/55/5
1/54/5
1/54/5
5/51/5
0/51/5
0/54/5
2/50/5
1/54/5
3/51/5
Model Prediction
Expected Goals
Bochum: 1.07
Expected Goals
Mainz: 2.4
Bochum
16%
Draw
16%
Mainz
68%
Over 2.5: 65%
BTTS: 60%
Quality: high
Market Odds (1X2)
Vig 6.5%
1 — Bochum
4.10▲
Implied 23%
Edge -6.9%
X
3.90▲
Implied 24%
Edge -8.1%
2 — Mainz
1.77▼
Implied 53%
Edge +15.0%
Edge = model probability − market implied probability. Positive edge means the model rates that outcome higher than the bookmaker.
Team 1 Form
Bochum · # = league position now
23 Oct2026
Bochum#13 vs Wolfsburg#3
1-1D
17 Oct2026
Kaiserslautern#5 vs Bochum#13
2-0L
11 Oct2026
Bochum#13 vs Arminia Bielefeld#9
0-1L
02 Oct2026
Bochum#13 vs Vfl Osnabruck#12
4-1W
20 Sept2026
Hannover#15 vs Bochum#13
2-1L
12 Sept2026
Bochum#13 vs Greuther Furth#10
1-1D
05 Sept2026
sg Dynamo Dresden#11 vs Bochum#13
1-2W
28 Aug2026
Bochum#13 vs Vfl Osnabruck#12
0-1L
23 Aug2026
Greuther Furth#10 vs Bochum#13
1-2W
14 Aug2026
Braunschweig#17 vs Bochum#13
0-1W
Team 2 Form
Mainz · # = league position now
24 Oct2026
Mainz#5 vs Werder Bremen#8
2-3L
17 Oct2026
Schalke#15 vs Mainz#5
0-1W
10 Oct2026
Mainz#5 vs Bayer Leverkusen#4
3-4L
03 Oct2026
Mannheim vs Mainz#5
0-3W
19 Sept2026
b. Monchengladbach#18 vs Mainz#5
3-4W
12 Sept2026
Mainz#5 vs Eintracht Frankfurt#11
1-3L
06 Sept2026
Hamburger sv#9 vs Mainz#5
0-5W
29 Aug2026
Mainz#5 vs Paderborn#16
0-0D
23 Aug2026
Krieschow vs Mainz#5
0-9W
15 Aug2026
Mainz#5 vs Bournemouth#15
2-1W
Head-to-Head
Last 10 · # = league position now
10 May2025
Bochum#13 vs Mainz#5
1-4•
11 Jan2025
Mainz#5 vs Bochum#13
2-0•
16 Mar2024
Mainz#5 vs Bochum#13
2-0•
27 Oct2023
Bochum#13 vs Mainz#5
2-2•
28 Jan2023
Mainz#5 vs Bochum#13
5-2•
06 Aug2022
Bochum#13 vs Mainz#5
1-2•
18 Jan2022
Bochum#13 vs Mainz#5
3-1•
15 Jan2022
Mainz#5 vs Bochum#13
1-0•
21 Aug2021
Bochum#13 vs Mainz#5
2-0•
23 Dec2020
Mainz#5 vs Bochum#13
2-2•
Upcoming matches
# = league position now
Bochum
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