Brighton vs Aston Villa

Prediction and result

Before kickoff, the model made Aston Villa favourites at 50% (Brighton 30%, draw 20%). That rests on expected goals of 1.88 to 1.43 and 7 wins from the last 10 meetings to 1. It put over 2.5 goals at 71% and both teams scoring at 57%. Brighton won 4-0, against the model's 50% for Aston Villa.

Key facts before the match

• Aston Villa have lost 3 matches in a row.
• They last met on 11 Feb 2026, when Aston Villa won 1-0.