Arsenal vs Leeds

Prediction and result

Before kickoff, the model made Arsenal favourites at 61% (Leeds 20%, draw 19%). That rests on expected goals of 2.03 to 1.04, 7 wins in Arsenal's last 10 matches to 5 for Leeds and 9 wins from the last 10 meetings to 0. It put over 2.5 goals at 60% and both teams scoring at 52%. Arsenal won 2-1, as the model expected.

Key facts before the match

• They last met on 31 Jan 2026, when Arsenal won 4-0.