Recordedmatch positions.

Oklahoma City Dodgers vs El Paso Chihuahuas

Country

Usa

League

PCL - Second stage

Match time

Thu, Aug 27, 00:35 GMT+3

Estimated probability: 67%. El Paso are 2-8 in their last 10 with repeated blowout losses, Oklahoma City are 6-4 and won 7 of the last 10 H2H including 8-0 and 10-5 at home; model 70% with high quality and expected runs 6.6-3.2. Main risk: El Paso edged last night's meeting by one run and no odds are available.

FC Naples vs Union Omaha

Country

Usa

League

USL League One

Match time

Thu, Aug 27, 02:30 GMT+3

Estimated probability: 69%. League leaders Union Omaha (45 points, 6W-2D-2L last 10) visit 11th-placed FC Naples, who have lost 8 of their last 10, and Omaha won 2 of the last 3 H2H; model 72% with high quality and xG 2.43-0.91. Main risk: Naples won the first-ever home meeting 3-1 and no odds are available as a sanity check.

Oklahoma City Dodgers vs El Paso Chihuahuas

Country

Usa

League

PCL - Second stage

Match time

Thu, Aug 27, 02:35 GMT+3

Estimated probability: 66%. Same doubleheader edge: Oklahoma City won 7 of the last 10 H2H against an El Paso side that has lost 8 of 10; model 70% with high quality. Main risk: second game of a doubleheader means deeper bullpen and lineup rotation, on top of last night's one-run loss to this opponent.

El Paso vs Pittsburgh

Country

Usa

League

USL Championship

Match time

Thu, Aug 27, 04:00 GMT+3

Estimated probability: 72%. El Paso went over 2.5 in only two of their last 10 and Pittsburgh in three, the three H2H meetings finished 2-0, 2-0 and 1-0, and the model under is 80% with high quality and combined xG 1.68. Main risk: both attacks are capable on their day and a tight 65-30-ish winner market means an early goal could open it up.

Vancouver Whitecaps 2 vs Los Angeles FC 2

Country

Usa

League

MLS Next Pro

Match time

Thu, Aug 27, 04:00 GMT+3

Estimated probability: 76%. LAFC 2 are 6W-3D-1L in their last 10 and won both 2026 H2H meetings, while Vancouver's reserves are 13th with two wins in their last 10 and 53 goals conceded; model has X2 at 86% with high quality. Main risk: reserve-league lineups rotate unpredictably and Vancouver won 4 of the older H2H meetings at home.

Kiwoom Heroes vs Samsung Lions

Country

South Korea

League

KBO

Match time

Thu, Aug 27, 12:30 GMT+3

Estimated probability: 70%. Model 71% with high quality and expected runs 7.5-3.8; Samsung are 6-3 in their last 9 and crushed Kiwoom 12-2 at this venue two nights ago, while Kiwoom are 3-6 with repeated heavy losses. Main risk: the sides also played a 3-3 tie here this week, and 1.43 odds imply only 65%.

Monday J. vs Ribecai M.

Country

United Kingdom

Tournament

Roehampton 2

Match time

Thu, Aug 27, 13:00 GMT+3

Surface

Hard

Estimated probability: 88%. Ribecai M. won a set in 9 of 10 recent completed hard-court matches, won 7, and has a 64% modeled match-win probability. Main risk: there is no direct H2H.

Montes-De La Torre I. vs Loffhagen G.

Country

United Kingdom

Tournament

Roehampton 2

Match time

Thu, Aug 27, 13:00 GMT+3

Surface

Hard

Estimated probability: 89%. Montes-De La Torre I. won a set in 9 of 10 recent completed hard-court matches, won 8, and has a 63% modeled match-win probability. Main risk: there is no direct H2H.

Basing M. vs Broom C.

Country

United Kingdom

Tournament

Roehampton 2

Match time

Thu, Aug 27, 14:30 GMT+3

Surface

Hard

Estimated probability: 92%. Broom C. won a set in 10 of 10 recent completed hard-court matches, won 9, and has a 56% modeled match-win probability. Main risk: the only H2H is from 2020.

Tarvet O. vs Hudd E.

Country

United Kingdom

Tournament

Roehampton 2

Match time

Thu, Aug 27, 14:30 GMT+3

Surface

Hard

Estimated probability: 90%. Tarvet O. won a set in 9 of 10 recent completed hard-court matches, won 9, and has a 62% modeled match-win probability. Main risk: one recent match was a straight-set loss.

Modern Sport vs Ghazl El Mahallah

Country

Egypt

League

Premier League

Match time

Thu, Aug 27, 17:00 GMT+3

Estimated probability: 70%. Model double chance 74% with high quality (xG 1.18-0.80); Modern Sport are unbeaten in 7 of their last 10 and Ghazl El Mahallah have lost 3 of 10 away from home with 4 failures to score. Main risk: Modern Sport have only 2 wins in 10, so this leans heavily on the draw.

KuPS (FIN) vs Shamrock Rovers (IRL)

Country

Europe

League

Conference League

Match time

Thu, Aug 27, 18:00 GMT+3

Estimated probability: 81%. KuPS and Shamrock Rovers each scored in 8 of 10 recent completed matches and both conceded in 9 of 10; the only H2H had both teams score and the model gives BTTS 69%. Main risk: the direct sample is one match.

Dougaz A. vs Guerrieri A.

Country

USA

Tournament

Us Open

Match time

Thu, Aug 27, 18:00 GMT+3

Surface

Hard

Estimated probability: 85%. Dougaz A. won a set in 10 of 10 recent completed hard-court matches, won 8, and has a 50% modeled match-win probability. Main risk: model quality is low and he lost the 2020 H2H in straight sets.

Wong C. vs Lajovic D.

Country

USA

Tournament

Us Open

Match time

Thu, Aug 27, 18:00 GMT+3

Surface

Hard

Estimated probability: 86%. Lajovic D. won a set in 9 of 9 recent completed hard-court matches, won 6, and has a 42% modeled match-win probability. Main risk: the sample contains nine matches, there is no H2H, and the model gives him only 42% match-win probability.

Samuel T. vs Garin C.

Country

USA

Tournament

Us Open

Match time

Thu, Aug 27, 18:00 GMT+3

Surface

Hard

Estimated probability: 91%. Samuel T. won a set in 9 of 10 recent completed hard-court matches, won 9, and has a 72% modeled match-win probability. Main risk: there is no H2H and one recent match was a straight-set loss.

Gaubas V. vs Wendelken H.

Country

USA

Tournament

Us Open

Match time

Thu, Aug 27, 18:00 GMT+3

Surface

Hard

Estimated probability: 83%. Gaubas V. won a set in 8 of 10 recent completed hard-court matches, won 7, and has a 56% modeled match-win probability. Main risk: he failed to win a set twice and there is no H2H.

KuPS (FIN) vs Shamrock Rovers (IRL)

Country

Europe

League

Conference League

Match time

Thu, Aug 27, 18:00 GMT+3

Estimated probability: 67%. Model BTTS 69%; KuPS have BTTS in 7 of their last 10 and Shamrock Rovers in 8 of 10, the first leg finished 1-1 with both scoring, and Rovers concede 1.7 per game. Main risk: KuPS managed only 1.2 goals per game and a tense decider can stay closed.

Maccabi Tel Aviv (ISR) vs Lugano (SUI)

Country

Europe

League

Conference League

Match time

Thu, Aug 27, 19:00 GMT+3

Estimated probability: 89%. Lugano (SUI) scored in 10 of 10 recent completed matches, Maccabi Tel Aviv (ISR) conceded in 6 of 10, and the medium-quality model projects 2.65 away goals. Main risk: only one H2H is available and Maccabi kept four recent clean sheets.

Iberia 1999 (GEO) vs Jagiellonia (POL)

Country

Europe

League

Europa League

Match time

Thu, Aug 27, 19:00 GMT+3

Estimated probability: 88%. Jagiellonia (POL) scored in 9 of 10 recent completed matches, Iberia 1999 (GEO) conceded in 9 of 10, and the medium-quality model projects 1.73 away goals. Main risk: only one H2H is available and model quality is medium.

Ararat-Armenia (ARM) vs Univ. Craiova (ROU)

Country

Europe

League

Europa League

Match time

Thu, Aug 27, 19:00 GMT+3

Estimated probability: 86%. Ararat-Armenia (ARM) scored in 9 of 10 recent completed matches, Univ. Craiova (ROU) conceded in 9 of 10, and the medium-quality model projects 1.64 home goals. Main risk: model quality is medium and only one H2H is available.

Iberia 1999 (GEO) vs Jagiellonia (POL)

Country

Europe

League

Europa League

Match time

Thu, Aug 27, 19:00 GMT+3

Estimated probability: 73%. Jagiellonia won the first leg 4-0, are 8W-1D-1L in their last 10 conceding 0.6 per game, while Iberia have 3 wins in 10 and lose the pick only with an outright home win. Main risk: with the tie effectively decided Jagiellonia may rotate heavily.

Bandecchi S. vs Rus A.

Country

USA

Tournament

Us Open

Match time

Thu, Aug 27, 19:30 GMT+3

Surface

Hard

Estimated probability: 92%. Bandecchi S. won a set in 9 of 10 recent completed hard-court matches, won 9, and has a 80% modeled match-win probability. Main risk: the H2H is from 2021.

Monaco (FRA) vs Gornik Zabrze (POL)

Country

Europe

League

Conference League

Match time

Thu, Aug 27, 19:45 GMT+3

Estimated probability: 82%. Gornik Zabrze (POL) scored in 8 of 10 recent completed matches, Monaco (FRA) conceded in 8 of 10, and the medium-quality model projects 1.43 away goals. Main risk: model quality is medium and only one H2H is available.

Rakow (POL) vs Hajduk Split (CRO)

Country

Europe

League

Conference League

Match time

Thu, Aug 27, 20:00 GMT+3

Estimated probability: 84%. Rakow (POL) scored in 9 of 10 recent completed matches, Hajduk Split (CRO) conceded in 7 of 10, and the medium-quality model projects 1.57 home goals. Main risk: model quality is medium and only one H2H is available.

Plzen (CZE) vs Crvena zvezda (SRB)

Country

Europe

League

Europa League

Match time

Thu, Aug 27, 20:00 GMT+3

Estimated probability: 87%. Crvena zvezda (SRB) scored in 8 of 10 recent completed matches, Plzen (CZE) conceded in 9 of 10, and the medium-quality model projects 2.19 away goals. Main risk: only one H2H is available and the modeled away-win probability is 54%.

Hradec Kralove (CZE) vs Panathinaikos (GRE)

Country

Europe

League

Conference League

Match time

Thu, Aug 27, 20:00 GMT+3

Estimated probability: 88%. Panathinaikos (GRE) scored in 10 of 10 recent completed matches, Hradec Kralove (CZE) conceded in 8 of 10, and the medium-quality model projects 1.64 away goals. Main risk: only one H2H is available and model quality is medium.

Riga FC (LAT) vs Klaksvik (FAI)

Country

Europe

League

Conference League

Match time

Thu, Aug 27, 20:00 GMT+3

Estimated probability: 86%. Riga FC (LAT) scored in 9 of 10 recent completed matches, Klaksvik (FAI) conceded in 7 of 10, and the medium-quality model projects 2.32 home goals. Main risk: only one H2H is available and model quality is medium.

Brann (NOR) vs PAOK (GRE)

Country

Europe

League

Conference League

Match time

Thu, Aug 27, 20:00 GMT+3

Estimated probability: 81%. Brann and PAOK each scored in 9 of 10 recent completed matches, their opponents conceded in 7 and 8 of 10, and both H2Hs had both teams score; the model gives BTTS 68%. Main risk: the direct sample contains only two meetings.

Inter Escaldes (AND) vs Drita (KOS)

Country

Europe

League

Conference League

Match time

Thu, Aug 27, 20:00 GMT+3

Estimated probability: 84%. Both sides scored in 9 of 10 recent completed matches and conceded in 9 and 8 of 10; both H2Hs had both teams score and the model gives BTTS 69%. Main risk: the direct sample contains only two meetings.

Riga FC (LAT) vs Klaksvik (FAI)

Country

Europe

League

Conference League

Match time

Thu, Aug 27, 20:00 GMT+3

Estimated probability: 80%. Model double chance 82%; Riga FC are unbeaten in 10 (7W-3D) scoring 2.8 per game, host the second leg after a 0-0 first leg, while Klaksvik have 3 wins in 10 and failed to score in 6 of those games. Main risk: Klaksvik held the first leg 0-0 and model quality is medium.

FC Copenhagen (DEN) vs Inter Turku (FIN)

Country

Europe

League

Conference League

Match time

Thu, Aug 27, 20:00 GMT+3

Estimated probability: 75%. Copenhagen are 7W-2D-1L in their last 10 scoring 2.5 per game and host the decider after a 0-0 first leg; Inter Turku have won only 4 of 10 and lose the pick only by winning at Parken. Main risk: Copenhagen just lost 0-4 at Viborg and Turku keep clean sheets (5 in 10).

Lillestrom (NOR) vs Egnatia (ALB)

Country

Europe

League

Europa League

Match time

Thu, Aug 27, 20:00 GMT+3

Estimated probability: 69%. Model double chance 73%; Egnatia are 5W-4D-1L in their last 10 and held the first leg 0-0, while Lillestrom are 3W-2D-5L with recent home defeats to Rosenborg and Viking and 4 failures to score. Main risk: Lillestrom are at home and a single home win sinks the pick.

Rakow (POL) vs Hajduk Split (CRO)

Country

Europe

League

Conference League

Match time

Thu, Aug 27, 20:00 GMT+3

Estimated probability: 68%. Model 70%; the first leg finished 2-2, Hajduk have gone over 2.5 in 9 of their last 10 and Rakow in 7 of 10, and this is a winner-take-all decider. Main risk: Rakow average only 1.6 goals scored and knockout deciders can tighten late.

Inter Escaldes (AND) vs Drita (KOS)

Country

Europe

League

Conference League

Match time

Thu, Aug 27, 20:00 GMT+3

Estimated probability: 68%. Model BTTS 69%; the first leg finished 2-2, Inter Escaldes have BTTS in 7 of their last 10 and Drita in 8 of 10, and both concede regularly (1.7 and 1.5 per game). Main risk: model quality is medium and one early goal can force a shut-out game plan.

Arab Contractors vs Al Masry

Country

Egypt

League

Premier League

Match time

Thu, Aug 27, 20:00 GMT+3

Estimated probability: 74%. Model under probability 75% with high quality and combined xG 1.85; Arab Contractors have gone over 2.5 in just 2 of their last 10 and Al Masry in 3 of 10, with both averaging about one goal scored per game. Main risk: no total-goals price is available and one defensive error can flip a low-scoring script.

Thun (SUI) vs Lech Poznan (POL)

Country

Europe

League

Europa League

Match time

Thu, Aug 27, 21:00 GMT+3

Estimated probability: 90%. Lech Poznan (POL) scored in 9 of 10 recent completed matches, Thun (SUI) conceded in 8 of 10, and the medium-quality model projects 2.93 away goals. Main risk: only one H2H is available and model quality is medium.

Aarhus (DEN) vs Benfica (POR)

Country

Europe

League

Europa League

Match time

Thu, Aug 27, 21:00 GMT+3

Estimated probability: 91%. Benfica (POR) scored in 10 of 10 recent completed matches, Aarhus (DEN) conceded in 9 of 10, and the medium-quality model projects 2.56 away goals. Main risk: model quality is medium and the H2H sample contains three matches.

St. Gallen (SUI) vs Nordsjaelland (DEN)

Country

Europe

League

Conference League

Match time

Thu, Aug 27, 21:00 GMT+3

Estimated probability: 88%. Nordsjaelland (DEN) scored in 9 of 10 recent completed matches, St. Gallen (SUI) conceded in 9 of 10, and the medium-quality model projects 1.78 away goals. Main risk: only one H2H is available and model quality is medium.

Ajax (NED) vs Sion (SUI)

Country

Europe

League

Conference League

Match time

Thu, Aug 27, 21:00 GMT+3

Estimated probability: 82%. Ajax cleared 2.5 goals in 8 of 10 recent completed matches, Sion in 9 of 10, and the model gives Over 2.5 an 81% probability with 4.13 expected goals. Main risk: model quality is medium and only one H2H is available.

Bonzi B. vs Van De Zandschulp B.

Country

USA

Tournament

Winston Salem

Match time

Thu, Aug 27, 21:00 GMT+3

Surface

Hard

Estimated probability: 85%. Van De Zandschulp B. won a set in 8 of 10 recent completed hard-court matches, won 7, and has a 64% modeled match-win probability. Main risk: he failed to win a set twice and the three H2Hs are split.

Aarhus (DEN) vs Benfica (POR)

Country

Europe

League

Europa League

Match time

Thu, Aug 27, 21:00 GMT+3

Estimated probability: 78%. Benfica lead the tie 3-1, are 6W-2D-2L in their last 10 scoring 3.3 per game, and lose the pick only if Aarhus win outright; Aarhus are 3W-3D-4L conceding 2.0 per game. Main risk: with a two-goal cushion Benfica may rotate and concede initiative at a lively away ground.

Thun (SUI) vs Lech Poznan (POL)

Country

Europe

League

Europa League

Match time

Thu, Aug 27, 21:00 GMT+3

Estimated probability: 70%. Model 81%; Thun's matches have gone over 2.5 in 9 of the last 10 (they score 2.0 and concede 2.7 per game) and the first leg produced seven goals in Lech's 7-0 win. Main risk: with the tie dead, a heavily rotated Lech could settle into a low-tempo stalemate.

Ajax (NED) vs Sion (SUI)

Country

Europe

League

Conference League

Match time

Thu, Aug 27, 21:00 GMT+3

Estimated probability: 74%. Model 81%; the first leg finished 4-2 to Ajax, Sion's games have gone over 2.5 in 9 of the last 10 and Ajax's in 8 of 10, with the sides scoring 2.7 and 2.9 per game. Main risk: Sion trail by two and an early Ajax goal could kill the contest.

Chelsea vs Luton

Country

England

League

EFL Cup

Match time

Thu, Aug 27, 21:30 GMT+3

Estimated probability: 86%. Luton scored in 9 of 10 recent completed matches, Chelsea conceded in 9 of 10, and the high-quality model projects 2.06 away goals. Main risk: Luton has only a 47% modeled match-win probability and just 5 of 10 H2Hs had both teams score.

Borac Banja Luka (BIH) vs Vikingur Reykjavik (ICE)

Country

Europe

League

Conference League

Match time

Thu, Aug 27, 21:30 GMT+3

Estimated probability: 88%. Borac Banja Luka (BIH) scored in 9 of 10 recent completed matches, Vikingur Reykjavik (ICE) conceded in 9 of 10, and the medium-quality model projects 1.94 home goals. Main risk: model quality is medium and only two H2Hs are available.

Austria Vienna (AUT) vs Braga (POR)

Country

Europe

League

Conference League

Match time

Thu, Aug 27, 21:30 GMT+3

Estimated probability: 84%. Braga (POR) scored in 9 of 10 recent completed matches, Austria Vienna (AUT) conceded in 7 of 10, and the medium-quality model projects 1.68 away goals. Main risk: model quality is medium and only one H2H is available.

Anderlecht (BEL) vs Kairat Almaty (KAZ)

Country

Europe

League

Europa League

Match time

Thu, Aug 27, 21:30 GMT+3

Estimated probability: 84%. Anderlecht (BEL) scored in 9 of 10 recent completed matches, Kairat Almaty (KAZ) conceded in 8 of 10, and the medium-quality model projects 1.55 home goals. Main risk: model quality is medium and only one H2H is available.

Celta Vigo vs Osasuna

Country

Spain

League

LaLiga

Match time

Thu, Aug 27, 21:30 GMT+3

Estimated probability: 82%. Celta Vigo scored in 9 of 10 recent completed matches, Osasuna conceded in 8 of 10, and the high-quality model projects 1.38 home goals. Main risk: the expected-goal cushion is modest and the modeled home-win probability is 46%.

Purcell M. vs Andrade A.

Country

Jamaica

Tournament

Kingston 2

Match time

Thu, Aug 27, 21:30 GMT+3

Surface

Hard

Estimated probability: 85%. Purcell M. won a set in 8 of 8 recent completed hard-court matches, won 7, and has a 49% modeled match-win probability. Main risk: the sample contains only eight matches, model quality is low, and there is no H2H.

Chelsea vs Luton

Country

England

League

EFL Cup

Match time

Thu, Aug 27, 21:30 GMT+3

Estimated probability: 69%. Model 76% with high quality and combined xG 3.8; Chelsea's matches have gone over 2.5 in 8 of the last 10 and Luton's in 7 of 10, and cup rotation typically opens up this fixture. Main risk: a heavily changed Chelsea side against lower-league opposition can produce a cagey 2-0 type game.

Borac Banja Luka (BIH) vs Vikingur Reykjavik (ICE)

Country

Europe

League

Conference League

Match time

Thu, Aug 27, 21:30 GMT+3

Estimated probability: 68%. Model 70%; the first leg produced four goals in Borac's 3-1 away win, Vikingur's games have gone over 2.5 in 8 of the last 10 while conceding 1.8 per game, and Vikingur must chase a two-goal deficit. Main risk: Borac can afford to sit on the aggregate lead and slow the game down.

Austria Vienna (AUT) vs Braga (POR)

Country

Europe

League

Conference League

Match time

Thu, Aug 27, 21:30 GMT+3

Estimated probability: 69%. Braga lead the tie 2-0, are unbeaten in 10 (7W-3D) with seven clean sheets conceding 0.5 per game, and Austria Vienna have lost their last two home games. Main risk: protecting the aggregate could invite pressure, and a single Austria Vienna goal on the night sinks the pick.

Boreham Wood vs Boston Utd

Country

England

League

National League

Match time

Thu, Aug 27, 21:45 GMT+3

Estimated probability: 86%. Boreham Wood scored in 10 of 10 recent completed matches, Boston Utd conceded in 6 of 10, and the high-quality model projects 1.97 home goals. Main risk: Boston kept four recent clean sheets and only two H2Hs are available.

Caen vs Bastia

Country

France

League

National

Match time

Thu, Aug 27, 21:45 GMT+3

Estimated probability: 87%. Caen scored in 9 of 10 recent completed matches, Bastia conceded in 7 of 10, and the high-quality model projects 2.19 home goals. Main risk: Caen was scoreless once and its modeled match-win probability is 63%.

Caen vs Bastia

Country

France

League

National

Match time

Thu, Aug 27, 21:45 GMT+3