Caen vs Bastia

Prediction and result

Before kickoff, the model made Caen favourites at 63% (Bastia 19%, draw 18%). That rests on expected goals of 2.19 to 1.11, 5 wins in Caen's last 10 matches to 3 for Bastia and 5 wins from the last 10 meetings to 2. It put over 2.5 goals at 57% and both teams scoring at 58%. Bastia won 1-0, against the model's 63% for Caen.

Key facts before the match

• They last met on 10 May 2025, when Bastia won 2-1.