Chelsea vs Luton

Prediction and result

Before kickoff, the model made Luton favourites at 47% (Chelsea 34%, draw 19%). That rests on 7 wins in Luton's last 10 matches to 5 for Chelsea. Chelsea lead the head-to-head 4-0, which keeps it from being more one-sided. It put over 2.5 goals at 76% and both teams scoring at 67%. Chelsea won 2-0, against the model's 47% for Luton.

Key facts before the match

• They last met on 30 Dec 2023, when Chelsea won 3-2.
• 4 of the last 4 meetings had three or more goals.