SMO◦ANCE
Match Intelligence
PicksSign in
Back to live matches

Daily picks

Thursday, October 1, 2026

This day
19 picks15–2 record88% hit rate-2.0 units1 pending
All time · Claude
4,031 picks2,833–871 record77% hit rate-757.7 units
01
FootballlostbalancedClaudeAuto

Atl. Ottawa vs Cavalry

Atl. Ottawa

FormWLLDW
vs

Cavalry

FormWDWWW
Country
Canada
League
Canadian Premier League
Match time
Thu, Oct 01, 02:00 GMT+3

Claude pick

  1. Cavalry or draw

Final result

3-2

Verify result

Estimated probability: 73%. Model 13/18/69 (double chance 87%). Cavalry top the table at 16-5-2 and are unbeaten in 10 (8-2-0); they won the last 3 meetings, 3-1, 3-0 and 3-1. Main risk: Ottawa are 3rd and won 2 of the 4 home meetings before this season (2-1, 3-0).

Published 1 update
View edit history1
  1. SettledAutomatic
    • Result: Not set→3-2
    • Status: pending→lost
Permanent prediction page

Match intelligence

Atl. Ottawa13%
Draw18%
Cavalry69%

Canadian Premier League

02:00 AM GMT+3

10 recent head-to-head meetings available

Full match analysis
02
FootballwonbalancedClaudeAuto

Brooklyn vs Detroit

Brooklyn

FormLDLDL
vs

Detroit

FormDWLDD
Country
USA
League
USL Championship
Match time
Thu, Oct 01, 02:00 GMT+3

Claude pick

  1. Detroit or draw

Final result

1-3

Verify result

Estimated probability: 76%. Model 10/22/68 (double chance 90%). Brooklyn are bottom at 1-2-7 with a -24 goal difference; Detroit are 3rd, have lost only 2 of their last 10 and beat Brooklyn 3-0 in March. Main risk: Detroit score only about 0.6 goals per game, and Brooklyn drew 2 of their last 3 at home.

Published 1 update
View edit history1
  1. SettledAutomatic
    • Result: Not set→1-3
    • Status: pending→won
Permanent prediction page

Match intelligence

Brooklyn10%
Draw22%
Detroit68%

USL Championship

02:00 AM GMT+3

1 recent head-to-head meeting available

Full match analysis
03
FootballwonbalancedClaudeAuto

New York Red Bulls vs St. Louis City

New York Red Bulls

FormWWLDL
vs

St. Louis City

FormWWWDW
Country
USA
League
MLS
Match time
Thu, Oct 01, 02:30 GMT+3

Claude pick

  1. St. Louis City or draw

Final result

0-3

Verify result

Estimated probability: 72%. Model 14/17/69 (double chance 86%). St. Louis City are unbeaten in 10 (6-4-0) and average 2.4 goals away; the Red Bulls are 3-2-5 and only 1-1-3 at home. Main risk: the Red Bulls beat St. Louis 3-1 at home in January and won their last two away games 1-0.

Published 1 update
View edit history1
  1. SettledAutomatic
    • Result: Not set→0-3
    • Status: pending→won
Permanent prediction page

Match intelligence

New York Red Bulls14%
Draw17%
St. Louis City69%

MLS

02:30 AM GMT+3

3 recent head-to-head meetings available

Full match analysis
04
FootballwonsafeClaudeAuto

Sacramento Republic vs Las Vegas Lights

Sacramento Republic

FormWDWDD
vs

Las Vegas Lights

FormDWLLL
Country
USA
League
USL Championship
Match time
Thu, Oct 01, 05:00 GMT+3

Claude pick

  1. Sacramento Republic or draw

Final result

3-2

Verify result

Estimated probability: 78%. Model 56/26/18 (double chance 82%). Sacramento are 4th and have lost once in 10 (4-5-1), with 4 clean sheets in 5 home games; they won 3 of the last 4 home meetings, 4-0, 5-0 and 2-0. Main risk: Las Vegas won 2-0 away at Orange County this month and kept 3 clean sheets in 4 away games.

Published 1 update
View edit history1
  1. SettledAutomatic
    • Result: Not set→3-2
    • Status: pending→won
Permanent prediction page

Match intelligence

Sacramento Republic56%
Draw26%
Las Vegas Lights18%

USL Championship

05:00 AM GMT+3

10 recent head-to-head meetings available

Full match analysis
05
FootballwonriskyClaudeAuto

Eupen (BEL) vs Alemannia Aachen (GER)

Eupen (BEL)

FormWWWWL
vs

Alemannia Aachen (GER)

FormWLDWL
Country
World
League
Club Friendly
Match time
Thu, Oct 01, 14:30 GMT+3

Claude pick

  1. Eupen or draw

Final result

3-1

Verify result

Estimated probability: 69%. Eupen won 8 of last 10 (3.3 goals/game) and are at home; model 59/18/23 gives 77% for Eupen or draw. Main risk: International-break friendly with likely rotation; Aachen (3. Liga) won the last meeting in 2023.

Published 1 update
View edit history1
  1. SettledAutomatic
    • Result: Not set→3-1
    • Status: pending→won
Permanent prediction page

Match intelligence

Eupen (BEL)59%
Draw18%
Alemannia Aachen (GER)23%

Club Friendly

02:30 PM GMT+3

7 recent head-to-head meetings available

Full match analysis
06
FootballwonbalancedClaudeAuto

Stuttgart II (GER) vs Wurzburger Kickers (GER)

Stuttgart II (GER)

FormDLLWL
vs

Wurzburger Kickers (GER)

FormLWLLL
Country
World
League
Club Friendly
Match time
Thu, Oct 01, 14:30 GMT+3

Claude pick

  1. Over 2.5 goals

Final result

3-3

Verify result

Estimated probability: 72%. Model over 2.5 at 77% (xG 2.06 v 1.70); Over 2.5 landed in 8/10 Stuttgart II and 9/10 Wurzburg matches, and their September meeting finished 2-1. Main risk: Friendly line-ups are unpredictable and youth-heavy sides can slow the tempo.

Published 1 update
View edit history1
  1. SettledAutomatic
    • Result: Not set→3-3
    • Status: pending→won
Permanent prediction page

Match intelligence

Stuttgart II (GER)48%
Draw19%
Wurzburger Kickers (GER)33%

Club Friendly

02:30 PM GMT+3

3 recent head-to-head meetings available

Full match analysis
07
FootballwonbalancedClaudeAuto

Dun. Streda (SVK) vs Puskas Academy (HUN)

Dun. Streda (SVK)

FormDLWWW
vs

Puskas Academy (HUN)

FormWWLLW
Country
World
League
Club Friendly
Match time
Thu, Oct 01, 16:00 GMT+3

Claude pick

  1. Over 2.5 goals

Final result

2-1

Verify result

Estimated probability: 70%. Model over 2.5 at 75% (Poisson 79%); Dun. Streda average 4.0 goals scored with Over 2.5 in 9/10, Puskas average 2.1 scored. Main risk: Several Streda overs came against amateur cup sides; Puskas hit Over 2.5 in only 5/10.

Published 1 update
View edit history1
  1. SettledAutomatic
    • Result: Not set→2-1
    • Status: pending→won
Permanent prediction page

Match intelligence

Dun. Streda (SVK)47%
Draw19%
Puskas Academy (HUN)34%

Club Friendly

04:00 PM GMT+3

Full match analysis
08
FootballwonsafeClaudeAuto

Juve Stabia (ITA) vs Palmese 1914 (ITA)

Juve Stabia (ITA)

FormDDLWL
vs

Palmese 1914 (ITA)

FormLLWDL
Country
World
League
Club Friendly
Match time
Thu, Oct 01, 16:00 GMT+3

Claude pick

  1. Juve Stabia or draw

Final result

4-1

Verify result

Estimated probability: 80%. Serie B side at home to Serie D Palmese, who won 2 of 10 and score 0.6 per game; model 56/21/23 gives 77% for the double chance. Main risk: Friendly rotation; Juve Stabia have won only 4 of their last 10.

Published 1 update
View edit history1
  1. SettledAutomatic
    • Result: Not set→4-1
    • Status: pending→won
Permanent prediction page

Match intelligence

Juve Stabia (ITA)56%
Draw21%
Palmese 1914 (ITA)23%

Club Friendly

04:00 PM GMT+3

Full match analysis
09
BasketballwonriskyClaudeAuto

Temp Sumz Revda vs Novosibirsk

Temp Sumz Revda

FormWWWLL
vs

Novosibirsk

FormLLLWW
Country
Russia
League
Super League
Match time
Thu, Oct 01, 16:00 GMT+3

Claude pick

  1. Temp Sumz Revda to win

Final result

105-77

Verify result

Estimated probability: 67%. Model 79% (confidence 97); Temp Sumz won the last two meetings (82-70, 79-67), and Novosibirsk won 3 of their last 10. Main risk: Form data is from last season (spring 2026), so off-season roster changes are unaccounted for.

Published 1 update
View edit history1
  1. SettledAutomatic
    • Result: Not set→105-77
    • Status: pending→won
Permanent prediction page

Match intelligence

The full match page is available; model percentages are still being calculated.

Super League

04:00 PM GMT+3

10 recent head-to-head meetings available

Full match analysis
10
FootballwonsafeClaudeAuto

Wolfsburg (GER) vs TSV Havelse (GER)

Wolfsburg (GER)

FormWLDWD
vs

TSV Havelse (GER)

FormLLDLW
Country
World
League
Club Friendly
Match time
Thu, Oct 01, 17:00 GMT+3

Claude pick

  1. Wolfsburg or draw

Final result

4-1

Verify result

Estimated probability: 80%. Bundesliga Wolfsburg at home to TSV Havelse, who won 1 of last 10; model 59/19/22 gives 78% for Wolfsburg or draw. Main risk: International-break friendly with heavy rotation possible; Havelse score in most games (BTTS 8/10).

Published 1 update
View edit history1
  1. SettledAutomatic
    • Result: Not set→4-1
    • Status: pending→won
Permanent prediction page

Match intelligence

Wolfsburg (GER)59%
Draw19%
TSV Havelse (GER)22%

Club Friendly

05:00 PM GMT+3

1 recent head-to-head meeting available

Full match analysis
11
BasketballwonsafeClaudeAuto

Ivanovo W vs UMMC Ekaterinburg W

Ivanovo W

FormLWWLL
vs

UMMC Ekaterinburg W

FormWLWWW
Country
Russia
League
Premier League Women
Match time
Thu, Oct 01, 18:30 GMT+3

Claude pick

  1. UMMC Ekaterinburg W to win

Final result

71-83

Verify result

Estimated probability: 85%. UMMC won 9 of last 10 and are 10-0 in H2H, winning the two 2025 meetings by 35 and 45 points; model 80%. Main risk: Away game early in the season, so rotation could narrow the margin.

Published 1 update
View edit history1
  1. SettledAutomatic
    • Result: Not set→71-83
    • Status: pending→won
Permanent prediction page

Match intelligence

The full match page is available; model percentages are still being calculated.

Premier League Women

06:30 PM GMT+3

10 recent head-to-head meetings available

Full match analysis
12
FootballwonsafeClaudeAuto

Azerbaijan vs Liechtenstein

Azerbaijan

FormDWWLD
vs

Liechtenstein

FormLLLLL
Country
Europe
League
UEFA Nations League
Match time
Thu, Oct 01, 19:00 GMT+3

Claude pick

  1. Azerbaijan or draw

Final result

0-0

Verify result

Estimated probability: 82%. Model 67/18/15 (high quality) gives 85% for the double chance; Liechtenstein have lost 9 of 10, scoring 0.3 per game. Main risk: Azerbaijan form is poor (3 wins in 10) and they lost 0-2 at home to Malta in June.

Published 1 update
View edit history1
  1. SettledAutomatic
    • Result: Not set→0-0
    • Status: pending→won
Permanent prediction page

Match intelligence

Azerbaijan67%
Draw18%
Liechtenstein15%

UEFA Nations League

07:00 PM GMT+3

5 recent head-to-head meetings available

Full match analysis
13
BasketballlostriskyClaudeAuto

Plunges Olimpas vs Silute

Plunges Olimpas

FormWWWWW
vs

Silute

FormLLLWW
Country
Lithuania
League
NKL
Match time
Thu, Oct 01, 19:00 GMT+3

Claude pick

  1. Plunges Olimpas to win

Final result

85-92

Verify result

Estimated probability: 68%. Model 75% (confidence 94); Plunges won 7 of last 10 and 4 of 6 H2H, including both recent home meetings. Main risk: Plunges lost their last two games, and Silute won the December 2025 meeting 103-90.

Published 1 update
View edit history1
  1. SettledAutomatic
    • Result: Not set→85-92
    • Status: pending→lost
Permanent prediction page

Match intelligence

The full match page is available; model percentages are still being calculated.

NKL

07:00 PM GMT+3

6 recent head-to-head meetings available

Full match analysis
14
BasketballpendingbalancedClaudeAuto

Ukmerges Stekas vs Vytis VDU

Ukmerges Stekas

FormLLWLL
vs

Vytis VDU

FormWWWLL
Country
Lithuania
League
NKL
Match time
Thu, Oct 01, 19:00 GMT+3

Claude pick

  1. Vytis VDU to win

Estimated probability: 72%. Vytis lead H2H 7-1 and won 6 of last 10; Ukmerges won only 1 of their last 10. Model 71%. Main risk: Away game, and recent H2H margins were narrow (93-88 in December).

Published No edits
Permanent prediction page

Match intelligence

The full match page is available; model percentages are still being calculated.

NKL

07:00 PM GMT+3

8 recent head-to-head meetings available

Full match analysis
15
BasketballwonbalancedClaudeAuto

Saarlouis W vs Geneve W

Saarlouis W

FormLLWWW
vs

Geneve W

FormWLLLW
Country
Europe
League
EuroCup Women - Qualification
Match time
Thu, Oct 01, 20:00 GMT+3

Claude pick

  1. Saarlouis W to win

Final result

77-56

Verify result

Estimated probability: 76%. Saarlouis won the first leg in Geneva 109-75 a week ago and are home for the return; model 73%, and Geneve won 3 of 10. Main risk: Second leg of a tie with a large lead, so Saarlouis may rotate or ease off.

Published 1 update
View edit history1
  1. SettledAutomatic
    • Result: Not set→77-56
    • Status: pending→won
Permanent prediction page

Match intelligence

The full match page is available; model percentages are still being calculated.

EuroCup Women - Qualification

08:00 PM GMT+3

Full match analysis
16
FootballvoidsafeClaudeAuto

Betis (ESP) vs Ceuta (ESP)

Betis (ESP)

FormDWWWW
vs

Ceuta (ESP)

FormWDLLL
Country
World
League
Club Friendly
Match time
Thu, Oct 01, 21:00 GMT+3

Claude pick

  1. Betis or draw

Estimated probability: 79%. Betis won 6 of last 10, including against Real Madrid, Villarreal and Getafe; Ceuta lost 6 of 10. Model 58/20/22 gives 78% for the double chance. Main risk: Friendly during the international break, so Betis may field a reserve-heavy XI.

Published 1 update
View edit history1
  1. SettledAutomatic
    • Status: pending→void
Permanent prediction page

Match intelligence

Betis (ESP)58%
Draw20%
Ceuta (ESP)22%

Club Friendly

09:00 PM GMT+3

1 recent head-to-head meeting available

Full match analysis
17
BasketballwonbalancedClaudeAuto

Ferrol W vs Beroe W

Ferrol W

FormWLLLW
vs

Beroe W

FormLLLLL
Country
Europe
League
EuroCup Women - Qualification
Match time
Thu, Oct 01, 21:15 GMT+3

Claude pick

  1. Ferrol W to win

Final result

85-58

Verify result

Estimated probability: 76%. Ferrol won the first leg 76-61 in Bulgaria and are home now; Beroe won 1 of last 10. Model 87%. Main risk: Ferrol's own form is only 4-6 and a big first-leg lead could reduce intensity.

Published 1 update
View edit history1
  1. SettledAutomatic
    • Result: Not set→85-58
    • Status: pending→won
Permanent prediction page

Match intelligence

The full match page is available; model percentages are still being calculated.

EuroCup Women - Qualification

09:15 PM GMT+3

Full match analysis
18
FootballwonsafeClaudeAuto

Germany vs Serbia

Germany

FormLDDLW
vs

Serbia

FormLLLLW
Country
Europe
League
UEFA Nations League
Match time
Thu, Oct 01, 21:45 GMT+3

Claude pick

  1. Germany or draw

Final result

2-0

Verify result

Estimated probability: 83%. Model 70/16/14 (high quality) gives 86% for Germany or draw; Serbia lost 7 of their last 10, including both Nations League games. Main risk: Germany are winless in 4 and lost 0-1 at home to Greece on Sunday.

Published 1 update
View edit history1
  1. SettledAutomatic
    • Result: Not set→2-0
    • Status: pending→won
Permanent prediction page

Match intelligence

Germany70%
Draw16%
Serbia14%

UEFA Nations League

09:45 PM GMT+3

3 recent head-to-head meetings available

Full match analysis
19
FootballwonbalancedClaudeAuto

Greece vs Netherlands

Greece

FormWWLDD
vs

Netherlands

FormWDDWW
Country
Europe
League
UEFA Nations League
Match time
Thu, Oct 01, 21:45 GMT+3

Claude pick

  1. Netherlands or draw

Final result

2-2

Verify result

Estimated probability: 72%. Netherlands lost 1 of last 10 and won the last two meetings with Greece (1-0 away, 3-0); model 24/22/54 gives 76% for the double chance. Main risk: Greece top the group after winning in Serbia and in Germany, and are at home.

Published 1 update
View edit history1
  1. SettledAutomatic
    • Result: Not set→2-2
    • Status: pending→won
Permanent prediction page

Match intelligence

Greece24%
Draw22%
Netherlands54%

UEFA Nations League

09:45 PM GMT+3

10 recent head-to-head meetings available

Full match analysis

Prediction alerts

Know when the next pick goes live.

Get one alert when SMOANCE publishes a new editorial selection. Choose email or Telegram. No account and no promotional noise.

Email requires confirmation. Telegram requires pressing Start. Unsubscribe any time.

Transparent tracking

Won, lost, void and pending selections all remain visible. Flat-stake units use one unit per pick and the listed decimal odds.

Responsible context

Human and automated picks are informational opinions, not financial advice or guaranteed outcomes. If you choose to bet, use limits and only risk what you can afford to lose. 18+.

Prediction alerts

Know when the next pick goes live.

Email requires confirmation. Telegram requires pressing Start. Unsubscribe any time.

Partnerships & contact: dash@smoance.com
Live Time:
© 2026 SMOANCE. All rights reserved.