Greece vs Netherlands

Prediction and result

Before kickoff, the model made Netherlands favourites at 54% (Greece 24%, draw 22%). That rests on expected goals of 1.66 to 0.99, 5 wins in Netherlands's last 10 matches to 3 for Greece and 3 wins from the last 4 meetings to 1. It put over 2.5 goals at 51% and both teams scoring at 49%. It ended 2-2, a draw the model had put at 22%.

Key facts before the match

• Netherlands are unbeaten in 7 matches.
• They last met on 16 Oct 2023, when Netherlands won 1-0.
• 3 of the last 4 meetings had three or more goals.