Azerbaijan vs Liechtenstein

Prediction and result

Before kickoff, the model made Azerbaijan favourites at 67% (Liechtenstein 15%, draw 18%). That rests on expected goals of 2.10 to 0.85, 3 wins in Azerbaijan's last 10 matches to 1 for Liechtenstein and 2 wins from the last 3 meetings to 0. It put over 2.5 goals at 50% and both teams scoring at 40%. It ended 0-0, a draw the model had put at 18%.

Key facts before the match

• Liechtenstein have lost 5 matches in a row.
• They last met on 6 Feb 2013, when Azerbaijan won 1-0.