Wellington Phoenix vs Melbourne Victory

Prediction and result

Before kickoff, the model made Melbourne Victory favourites at 62% (Wellington Phoenix 17%, draw 21%). That rests on expected goals of 1.72 to 0.74 and 5 wins from the last 10 meetings to 3. It put over 2.5 goals at 44% and both teams scoring at 44%. Wellington Phoenix won 2-1, against the model's 62% for Melbourne Victory.

Key facts before the match

• Melbourne Victory are unbeaten in 7 matches.
• They last met on 5 Apr 2026, when Wellington Phoenix won 1-0.