Football · A-League · Australia
Newcastle Jets vs Wellington Phoenix
Saturday, 31 October 2026
Upcoming. The scheduled start is still ahead. Match status has not been confirmed live.Match preview
The model makes Wellington Phoenix favourites at 48% (Newcastle Jets 31%, draw 21%). That rests on Wellington Phoenix sitting 1st in the table to Newcastle Jets's 7th and 6 wins in Wellington Phoenix's last 10 matches to 1 for Newcastle Jets. Bookmakers give Wellington Phoenix about 28% once their margin is removed, so the model is more confident than the market. It puts over 2.5 goals at 63% and both teams scoring at 68%.
Key facts
- Newcastle Jets have gone 8 matches without a win.
- Newcastle Jets scored in every one of their last 10 matches.
- They last met on 23 Jan 2026, when Newcastle Jets won 4-1.
- 9 of the last 10 meetings had three or more goals.
Australia•A-League
vs
Saturday, 31 October 2026 at 07:00
Upcoming. The scheduled start is still ahead. Match status has not been confirmed live.H2H: 5-1-4
Last 10 matches
1010
17/2512/11
1.701.20
2.501.10
10/107/10
5/105/10
9/107/10
6/102/10
1/103/10
0/103/10
10/108/10
7/104/10
9/104/10
Home & away form · from last 10 matches
Newcastle Jets at homeWellington Phoenix away
45
1/42/5
2/41/5
1/42/5
1.750.80
1.251.60
4/43/5
1/41/5
1/40/5
3/44/5
1/42/5
1/41/5
0/42/5
2/42/5
3/42/5
Model Prediction
Expected Goals
Newcastle Jets: 1.35
Expected Goals
Wellington Phoenix: 1.75
Newcastle Jets
31%
Draw
21%
Wellington Phoenix
48%
Over 2.5: 63%
BTTS: 68%
Quality: high
Market Odds (1X2)
Vig 8.0%
1 — Newcastle Jets
1.92▼
Implied 48%
Edge -17.2%
X
3.90▲
Implied 24%
Edge -2.7%
2 — Wellington Phoenix
3.30▲
Implied 28%
Edge +19.9%
Edge = model probability − market implied probability. Positive edge means the model rates that outcome higher than the bookmaker.
Team 1 Form
Newcastle Jets · # = league position now
27 Oct2026
Kyoto vs Newcastle Jets#7
5-2L
24 Oct2026
Newcastle Jets#7 vs Macarthur fc#3
1-1D
17 Oct2026
Central Coast Mariners#9 vs Newcastle Jets#7
2-2D
13 Oct2026
Newcastle Jets#7 vs Gamba Osaka
1-3L
15 Sept2026
Kashima Antlers vs Newcastle Jets#7
7-1L
21 Jul2026
Preston Lions#6 vs Newcastle Jets#7
3-2L
16 May2026
Newcastle Jets#7 vs Sydney fc#4
1-1D
09 May2026
Sydney fc#4 vs Newcastle Jets#7
1-1D
25 Apr2026
Newcastle Jets#7 vs Central Coast Mariners#9
4-0W
17 Apr2026
Melbourne Victory#8 vs Newcastle Jets#7
2-2D
Team 2 Form
Wellington Phoenix · # = league position now
25 Oct2026
Wellington Phoenix#1 vs Central Coast Mariners#9
2-0W
18 Oct2026
Wellington Phoenix#1 vs Melbourne Victory#8
2-1W
24 Apr2026
Macarthur fc#3 vs Wellington Phoenix#1
4-0L
18 Apr2026
Wellington Phoenix#1 vs ws Wanderers#2
2-1W
12 Apr2026
Melbourne City#10 vs Wellington Phoenix#1
2-0L
05 Apr2026
Melbourne Victory#8 vs Wellington Phoenix#1
0-1W
21 Mar2026
Brisbane Roar#5 vs Wellington Phoenix#1
1-2W
14 Mar2026
Wellington Phoenix#1 vs Perth Glory#12
2-0W
06 Mar2026
Adelaide United#11 vs Wellington Phoenix#1
1-1D
01 Mar2026
Wellington Phoenix#1 vs Sydney fc#4
0-1L
Head-to-Head
Last 10 · # = league position now
23 Jan2026
Newcastle Jets#7 vs Wellington Phoenix#1
4-1•
14 Dec2025
Wellington Phoenix#1 vs Newcastle Jets#7
1-3•
06 Apr2025
Newcastle Jets#7 vs Wellington Phoenix#1
1-2•
28 Dec2024
Wellington Phoenix#1 vs Newcastle Jets#7
2-1•
19 Apr2024
Newcastle Jets#7 vs Wellington Phoenix#1
1-1•
27 Jan2024
Newcastle Jets#7 vs Wellington Phoenix#1
1-2•
09 Dec2023
Wellington Phoenix#1 vs Newcastle Jets#7
0-3•
04 Mar2023
Wellington Phoenix#1 vs Newcastle Jets#7
2-1•
22 Oct2022
Newcastle Jets#7 vs Wellington Phoenix#1
3-1•
18 Mar2022
Newcastle Jets#7 vs Wellington Phoenix#1
4-0•
Upcoming matches
# = league position now
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