Swindon vs Crewe

Prediction and result

Before kickoff, the model made Crewe favourites at 55% (Swindon 24%, draw 21%). That rests on expected goals of 1.74 to 1.07. It put over 2.5 goals at 56% and both teams scoring at 57%. Crewe won 1-0, as the model expected.

Key facts before the match

• Crewe are unbeaten in 9 matches.
• Swindon have gone 6 matches without a win.
• They last met on 21 Feb 2026, when Crewe won 2-1.