Swindon vs Accrington

Prediction and result

Before kickoff, the model made Swindon favourites at 51% (Accrington 28%, draw 21%). That rests on expected goals of 1.85 to 1.29 and 3 wins in Swindon's last 10 matches to 1 for Accrington. Accrington lead the head-to-head 4-2, which keeps it from being more one-sided. It put over 2.5 goals at 68% and both teams scoring at 62%. It ended 1-1, a draw the model had put at 21%.

Key facts before the match

• Swindon have lost 4 matches in a row.
• They last met on 18 Apr 2026, when it finished 2-2.
• 9 of the last 10 meetings had three or more goals.