Rochdale vs Swindon

Prediction and result

Before kickoff, the model made Rochdale favourites at 49% (Swindon 29%, draw 22%). That rests on expected goals of 1.62 to 1.18. Swindon lead the head-to-head 4-2, which keeps it from being more one-sided. It put over 2.5 goals at 61% and both teams scoring at 55%. Rochdale won 1-0, as the model expected.

Key facts before the match

• Swindon have gone 5 matches without a win.
• They last met on 18 Mar 2023, when it finished 4-4.
• 9 of the last 10 meetings had three or more goals.