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Football · Greek Cup · Greece

PAOK vs AEK Athens

Wednesday, 28 October 2026

Upcoming. The scheduled start is still ahead. Match status has not been confirmed live.

Match preview

The model makes AEK Athens favourites at 42% (PAOK 37%, draw 21%). That rests on AEK Athens sitting 1st in the table to PAOK's 7th. It puts over 2.5 goals at 57% and both teams scoring at 57%.

Key facts

  • AEK Athens scored in every one of their last 10 matches.
  • They last met on 13 May 2026, when it finished 1-1.
  • AEK Athens have scored in all of their last 6 away games.
Greece•Greek Cup
Paok(3)
Rank 7 · 4 pts
W6d
L12d
W34d
W38d
W41d
L48d
D52d
W55d
L58d
W62d
6W · 1D · 3L
vs
Aek Athens(3)
Rank 1 · 6 pts
L4d
L10d
W14d
W34d
W37d
D41d
W46d
W49d
W52d
D55d
6W · 2D · 2L
Wednesday, 28 October 2026 at 21:30
Upcoming. The scheduled start is still ahead. Match status has not been confirmed live.
H2H: 3-4-3
Last 10 matches
1010
18/1225/12
1.802.50
1.201.20
9/1010/10
6/105/10
6/106/10
3/102/10
4/104/10
1/100/10
8/109/10
7/106/10
6/106/10
Home & away form · from last 10 matches
Paok at homeAek Athens away
56
3/52/6
1/52/6
1/52/6
1.801.33
0.801.83
4/56/6
3/52/6
1/50/6
2/55/6
1/52/6
3/51/6
1/50/6
3/53/6
2/55/6
Model Prediction
Expected Goals
Paok: 1.56
Expected Goals
Aek Athens: 1.66
Paok
37%
Draw
21%
Aek Athens
42%
Over 2.5: 57%
BTTS: 57%
Quality: high
Market Odds (1X2)
Vig 7.0%
1 — PAOK
2.25
Implied 42%
Edge -4.5%
X
3.10
Implied 30%
Edge -9.1%
2 — AEK Athens
3.30▲
Implied 28%
Edge +13.7%
Edge = model probability − market implied probability. Positive edge means the model rates that outcome higher than the bookmaker.
Team 1 Form
Paok · # = league position now
18 Oct2026
Paok#7 vs Iraklis 1908#8
2-1W
12 Oct2026
Paok#7 vs Kalamata#9
1-3L
20 Sept2026
Panetolikos#9 vs Paok#7
1-3W
16 Sept2026
Atromitos#8 vs Paok#7
0-1W
13 Sept2026
Paok#7 vs Aris#6
2-0W
06 Sept2026
Panathinaikos#3 vs Paok#7
3-1L
02 Sept2026
Paok#7 vs Ofi Crete#5
0-0D
30 Aug2026
Atromitos#8 vs Paok#7
1-2W
27 Aug2026
Brann#7 vs Paok#7
3-2L
23 Aug2026
Paok#7 vs Levadiakos#13
4-0W
Team 2 Form
Aek Athens · # = league position now
20 Oct2026
Manchester City#1 vs Aek Athens#1
5-1L
14 Oct2026
Shakhtar Donetsk#17 vs Aek Athens#1
3-1L
10 Oct2026
Aek Athens#1 vs Ofi Crete#5
3-0W
20 Sept2026
Volos#10 vs Aek Athens#1
1-2W
17 Sept2026
Aek Athens#1 vs Panserraikos#16
8-1W
13 Sept2026
Asteras Tripolis#4 vs Aek Athens#1
1-1D
08 Sept2026
Aek Athens#1 vs Lask#3
1-0W
05 Sept2026
Aek Athens#1 vs Aris#6
5-0W
02 Sept2026
Chrisoupolis#15 vs Aek Athens#1
0-2W
30 Aug2026
Kifisia#12 vs Aek Athens#1
1-1D
Head-to-Head
Last 10 · # = league position now
13 May2026
Paok#7 vs Aek Athens#1
1-1•
19 Apr2026
Aek Athens#1 vs Paok#7
3-0•
15 Feb2026
Paok#7 vs Aek Athens#1
0-0•
19 Oct2025
Aek Athens#1 vs Paok#7
0-2•
11 May2025
Paok#7 vs Aek Athens#1
1-0•
30 Mar2025
Aek Athens#1 vs Paok#7
2-3•
02 Feb2025
Paok#7 vs Aek Athens#1
1-2•
09 Jan2025
Paok#7 vs Aek Athens#1
1-1•
18 Dec2024
Aek Athens#1 vs Paok#7
1-0•
20 Oct2024
Aek Athens#1 vs Paok#7
1-1•
Upcoming matches
# = league position now

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