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Football · Super League · Greece

OFI Crete vs PAOK

Sunday, 25 October 2026

Upcoming. The scheduled start is still ahead. Match status has not been confirmed live.

Match preview

The model makes PAOK favourites at 55% (OFI Crete 24%, draw 21%). That rests on expected goals of 1.83 to 1.13, PAOK sitting 3rd in the table to OFI Crete's 7th and 6 wins in PAOK's last 10 matches to 4 for OFI Crete. Bookmakers give PAOK about 55% once their margin is removed, close to the model's view. It puts over 2.5 goals at 63% and both teams scoring at 51%.

Key facts

  • OFI Crete have lost 4 matches in a row.
  • OFI Crete kept 5 clean sheets in their last 10 matches.
  • They last met on 2 Sept 2026, when it finished 0-0.
  • PAOK have scored in all of their last 5 away games.
Greece•Super League
Rank 7 · 10 pts
L2d
L6d
L9d
L14d
D34d
W37d
W42d
W45d
W48d
D52d
4W · 2D · 4L
vs
Paok(4)
Rank 3 · 15 pts
W6d
L12d
W34d
W38d
W41d
L48d
D52d
W55d
L58d
W62d
6W · 1D · 3L
Sunday, 25 October 2026 at 21:00
Upcoming. The scheduled start is still ahead. Match status has not been confirmed live.
H2H: 3-3-4
Last 10 matches
1010
14/1318/12
1.401.80
1.301.20
7/109/10
5/106/10
5/106/10
5/103/10
5/104/10
3/101/10
8/108/10
5/107/10
3/106/10
Home & away form · from last 10 matches
Ofi Crete at homePaok away
55
3/53/5
1/50/5
1/52/5
1.801.80
0.801.60
4/55/5
4/53/5
1/51/5
2/54/5
2/52/5
3/51/5
1/50/5
2/54/5
1/54/5
Model Prediction
Expected Goals
Ofi Crete: 1.13
Expected Goals
Paok: 1.83
Ofi Crete
24%
Draw
21%
Paok
55%
Over 2.5: 63%
BTTS: 51%
Quality: high
Market Odds (1X2)
Vig 8.6%
1 — OFI Crete
4.60▲
Implied 20%
Edge +4.0%
X
3.70
Implied 25%
Edge -3.9%
2 — PAOK
1.67▼
Implied 55%
Edge -0.1%
Edge = model probability − market implied probability. Positive edge means the model rates that outcome higher than the bookmaker.
Team 1 Form
Ofi Crete · # = league position now
22 Oct2026
Ofi Crete#7 vs Bayer Leverkusen#4
0-2L
18 Oct2026
Kalamata#6 vs Ofi Crete#7
4-3L
15 Oct2026
Rennes#6 vs Ofi Crete#7
2-1L
10 Oct2026
Aek Athens#4 vs Ofi Crete#7
3-0L
20 Sept2026
Ofi Crete#7 vs Asteras Tripolis#11
2-2D
17 Sept2026
Ofi Crete#7 vs Hoffenheim#13
2-0W
12 Sept2026
Olympiacos Piraeus#2 vs Ofi Crete#7
0-1W
09 Sept2026
Ofi Crete#7 vs Chrisoupolis#15
3-0W
06 Sept2026
Ofi Crete#7 vs Kifisia#10
2-0W
02 Sept2026
Paok#3 vs Ofi Crete#7
0-0D
Team 2 Form
Paok · # = league position now
18 Oct2026
Paok#3 vs Iraklis 1908#8
2-1W
12 Oct2026
Paok#3 vs Kalamata#6
1-3L
20 Sept2026
Panetolikos#9 vs Paok#3
1-3W
16 Sept2026
Atromitos#12 vs Paok#3
0-1W
13 Sept2026
Paok#3 vs Aris#5
2-0W
06 Sept2026
Panathinaikos#1 vs Paok#3
3-1L
02 Sept2026
Paok#3 vs Ofi Crete#7
0-0D
30 Aug2026
Atromitos#12 vs Paok#3
1-2W
27 Aug2026
Brann#7 vs Paok#3
3-2L
23 Aug2026
Paok#3 vs Levadiakos#13
4-0W
Head-to-Head
Last 10 · # = league position now
02 Sept2026
Paok#3 vs Ofi Crete#7
0-0•
25 Apr2026
Paok#3 vs Ofi Crete#7
2-3•
18 Jan2026
Paok#3 vs Ofi Crete#7
3-0•
14 Sept2025
Ofi Crete#7 vs Paok#3
1-2•
08 Feb2025
Ofi Crete#7 vs Paok#3
0-5•
27 Oct2024
Paok#3 vs Ofi Crete#7
1-2•
03 Jan2024
Paok#3 vs Ofi Crete#7
4-0•
03 Sept2023
Ofi Crete#7 vs Paok#3
1-0•
14 Jan2023
Paok#3 vs Ofi Crete#7
0-0•
18 Sept2022
Ofi Crete#7 vs Paok#3
1-1•

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