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Football · Greek Cup · Greece

AEL Larissa vs OFI Crete

Wednesday, 28 October 2026

Upcoming. The scheduled start is still ahead. Match status has not been confirmed live.

Match preview

The model makes OFI Crete favourites at 44% (AEL Larissa 31%, draw 25%). That rests on OFI Crete sitting 5th in the table to AEL Larissa's 13th and 5 wins from the last 10 meetings to 2. Bookmakers give OFI Crete about 55% once their margin is removed, so the model is less confident than the market. It puts over 2.5 goals at 46% and both teams scoring at 42%.

Key facts

  • OFI Crete have lost 4 matches in a row.
  • OFI Crete kept 5 clean sheets in their last 10 matches.
  • They last met on 28 Feb 2026, when OFI Crete won 3-0.
Greece•Greek Cup
Ael Larissa(2)
Rank 13 · 1 pts
D6d
L13d
D21d
W27d
W33d
D37d
W42d
D48d
L52d
W68d
4W · 4D · 2L
vs
Ofi Crete(5)
Rank 5 · 4 pts
L2d
L6d
L9d
L14d
D34d
W37d
W42d
W45d
W48d
D52d
4W · 2D · 4L
Wednesday, 28 October 2026 at 20:30
Upcoming. The scheduled start is still ahead. Match status has not been confirmed live.
H2H: 2-3-5
Last 10 matches
1010
13/1014/13
1.301.40
1.001.30
7/107/10
3/105/10
6/105/10
2/105/10
4/105/10
3/103/10
6/108/10
4/105/10
4/103/10
Home & away form · from last 10 matches
Ael Larissa at homeOfi Crete away
55
2/51/5
2/51/5
1/53/5
0.601.00
1.001.80
3/53/5
0/51/5
0/51/5
2/53/5
1/53/5
3/52/5
2/52/5
1/53/5
1/52/5
Model Prediction
Expected Goals
Ael Larissa: 1.08
Expected Goals
Ofi Crete: 1.34
Ael Larissa
31%
Draw
25%
Ofi Crete
44%
Over 2.5: 46%
BTTS: 42%
Quality: high
Market Odds (1X2)
Vig 7.4%
1 — AEL Larissa
5.00▲
Implied 19%
Edge +12.4%
X
3.50▲
Implied 27%
Edge -1.6%
2 — OFI Crete
1.70
Implied 55%
Edge -10.8%
Edge = model probability − market implied probability. Positive edge means the model rates that outcome higher than the bookmaker.
Team 1 Form
Ael Larissa · # = league position now
18 Oct2026
Ael Larissa#13 vs Panserraikos#16
0-0D
11 Oct2026
Marko#11 vs Ael Larissa#13
1-0L
03 Oct2026
Niki Volos#14 vs Ael Larissa#13
2-2D
27 Sept2026
Ael Larissa#13 vs Paok b
1-0W
21 Sept2026
Pyrgos vs Ael Larissa#13
0-4W
17 Sept2026
Kalamata#9 vs Ael Larissa#13
1-1D
12 Sept2026
Ael Larissa#13 vs Zakynthos
1-0W
06 Sept2026
Ael Larissa#13 vs Karditsa
1-1D
02 Sept2026
Ael Larissa#13 vs Olympiacos Piraeus#2
0-4L
17 Aug2026
Athens Kallithea vs Ael Larissa#13
1-3W
Team 2 Form
Ofi Crete · # = league position now
22 Oct2026
Ofi Crete#5 vs Bayer Leverkusen#4
0-2L
18 Oct2026
Kalamata#9 vs Ofi Crete#5
4-3L
15 Oct2026
Rennes#6 vs Ofi Crete#5
2-1L
10 Oct2026
Aek Athens#1 vs Ofi Crete#5
3-0L
20 Sept2026
Ofi Crete#5 vs Asteras Tripolis#4
2-2D
17 Sept2026
Ofi Crete#5 vs Hoffenheim#13
2-0W
12 Sept2026
Olympiacos Piraeus#2 vs Ofi Crete#5
0-1W
09 Sept2026
Ofi Crete#5 vs Chrisoupolis#15
3-0W
06 Sept2026
Ofi Crete#5 vs Kifisia#12
2-0W
02 Sept2026
Paok#7 vs Ofi Crete#5
0-0D
Head-to-Head
Last 10 · # = league position now
28 Feb2026
Ofi Crete#5 vs Ael Larissa#13
3-0•
24 Nov2025
Ael Larissa#13 vs Ofi Crete#5
1-2•
24 Apr2021
Ael Larissa#13 vs Ofi Crete#5
0-1•
06 Mar2021
Ofi Crete#5 vs Ael Larissa#13
2-3•
12 Dec2020
Ael Larissa#13 vs Ofi Crete#5
0-1•
01 Feb2020
Ofi Crete#5 vs Ael Larissa#13
0-0•
03 Nov2019
Ael Larissa#13 vs Ofi Crete#5
3-2•
03 Mar2019
Ofi Crete#5 vs Ael Larissa#13
0-0•
27 Oct2018
Ael Larissa#13 vs Ofi Crete#5
0-0•
25 Jul2018
Ofi Crete#5 vs Ael Larissa#13
1-0•
Upcoming matches
# = league position now
Ael Larissa
No upcoming fixtures listed.

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