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Football · Super League · Greece

Panathinaikos vs AEK Athens

Sunday, 01 November 2026

Upcoming. The scheduled start is still ahead. Match status has not been confirmed live.

Match preview

The model makes Panathinaikos favourites at 58% (AEK Athens 23%, draw 19%). That rests on expected goals of 2.17 to 1.30 and 9 wins in Panathinaikos's last 10 matches to 6 for AEK Athens. Bookmakers give Panathinaikos about 39% once their margin is removed, so the model is more confident than the market. It puts over 2.5 goals at 68% and both teams scoring at 62%.

Key facts

  • AEK Athens scored in every one of their last 10 matches.
  • Panathinaikos are 1st in Super League on 18 points from 7 games; AEK Athens are 4th on 14.
  • Panathinaikos have scored in all of their last 6 home games.
  • Panathinaikos average 2.83 goals a game at home.
  • Panathinaikos have won 3 matches in a row.
Greece•Super League
Panathinaikos(4)
Rank 1 · 18 pts
W2d
W6d
W9d
L13d
W34d
W38d
W41d
W44d
W48d
W51d
9W · 0D · 1L
vs
Aek Athens(5)
Rank 4 · 14 pts
L4d
L10d
W14d
W34d
W37d
D41d
W46d
W49d
W52d
D55d
6W · 2D · 2L
Sunday, 01 November 2026 at 20:00
Upcoming. The scheduled start is still ahead. Match status has not been confirmed live.
H2H: 4-1-5
Last 10 matches
1010
25/625/12
2.502.50
0.601.20
9/1010/10
7/105/10
6/106/10
0/102/10
4/104/10
1/100/10
7/109/10
6/106/10
5/106/10
Home & away form · from last 10 matches
Panathinaikos at homeAek Athens away
66
6/62/6
0/62/6
0/62/6
2.831.33
0.671.83
6/66/6
5/62/6
4/60/6
4/65/6
0/62/6
2/61/6
0/60/6
5/63/6
4/65/6
Model Prediction
Expected Goals
Panathinaikos: 2.17
Expected Goals
Aek Athens: 1.3
Panathinaikos
58%
Draw
19%
Aek Athens
23%
Over 2.5: 68%
BTTS: 62%
Quality: high
Market Odds (1X2)
Vig 6.5%
1 — Panathinaikos
2.40▲
Implied 39%
Edge +18.9%
X
3.30▼
Implied 28%
Edge -9.5%
2 — AEK Athens
2.90▼
Implied 32%
Edge -9.4%
Edge = model probability − market implied probability. Positive edge means the model rates that outcome higher than the bookmaker.
Team 1 Form
Panathinaikos · # = league position now
22 Oct2026
Kairat Almaty#31 vs Panathinaikos#1
1-5W
18 Oct2026
Panathinaikos#1 vs Asteras Tripolis#11
5-1W
15 Oct2026
Panathinaikos#1 vs Borac Banja Luka#14
2-1W
11 Oct2026
Olympiacos Piraeus#2 vs Panathinaikos#1
1-0L
20 Sept2026
Kalamata#6 vs Panathinaikos#1
0-1W
16 Sept2026
Kifisia#10 vs Panathinaikos#1
0-2W
13 Sept2026
Panathinaikos#1 vs Panetolikos#9
3-0W
10 Sept2026
Panathinaikos#1 vs Kifisia#10
3-1W
06 Sept2026
Panathinaikos#1 vs Paok#3
3-1W
03 Sept2026
Panathinaikos#1 vs Niki Volos#14
1-0W
Team 2 Form
Aek Athens · # = league position now
20 Oct2026
Manchester City#1 vs Aek Athens#4
5-1L
14 Oct2026
Shakhtar Donetsk#17 vs Aek Athens#4
3-1L
10 Oct2026
Aek Athens#4 vs Ofi Crete#7
3-0W
20 Sept2026
Volos#14 vs Aek Athens#4
1-2W
17 Sept2026
Aek Athens#4 vs Panserraikos#16
8-1W
13 Sept2026
Asteras Tripolis#11 vs Aek Athens#4
1-1D
08 Sept2026
Aek Athens#4 vs Lask#3
1-0W
05 Sept2026
Aek Athens#4 vs Aris#5
5-0W
02 Sept2026
Chrisoupolis#15 vs Aek Athens#4
0-2W
30 Aug2026
Kifisia#10 vs Aek Athens#4
1-1D
Head-to-Head
Last 10 · # = league position now
10 May2026
Aek Athens#4 vs Panathinaikos#1
2-1•
03 May2026
Panathinaikos#1 vs Aek Athens#4
0-0•
18 Jan2026
Aek Athens#4 vs Panathinaikos#1
4-0•
30 Nov2025
Panathinaikos#1 vs Aek Athens#4
2-3•
04 May2025
Aek Athens#4 vs Panathinaikos#1
1-2•
06 Apr2025
Panathinaikos#1 vs Aek Athens#4
3-1•
19 Jan2025
Panathinaikos#1 vs Aek Athens#4
1-0•
29 Sept2024
Aek Athens#4 vs Panathinaikos#1
2-0•
24 Apr2024
Aek Athens#4 vs Panathinaikos#1
3-0•
03 Apr2024
Panathinaikos#1 vs Aek Athens#4
2-1•
Upcoming matches
# = league position now

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