Panathinaikos vs Aris

Match preview

The model makes Panathinaikos favourites at 68% (Aris 15%, draw 17%). That rests on expected goals of 2.20 to 0.89, 9 wins in Panathinaikos's last 10 matches to 6 for Aris and 5 wins from the last 10 meetings to 3. Bookmakers give Panathinaikos about 55% once their margin is removed, so the model is more confident than the market. It puts over 2.5 goals at 53% and both teams scoring at 51%.

Key facts

• Panathinaikos are 3rd in Greek Cup on 6 points from 2 games; Aris are 6th on 4.
• Panathinaikos have scored in all of their last 6 home games.
• Panathinaikos average 2.83 goals a game at home.
• Panathinaikos have won 3 matches in a row.
• They last met on 1 Mar 2026, when Panathinaikos won 3-1.