Mainz vs Paderborn

Prediction and result

Before kickoff, the model made Mainz favourites at 75% (Paderborn 12%, draw 13%). That rests on expected goals of 2.88 to 1.09, 9 wins in Mainz's last 10 matches to 5 for Paderborn and 4 wins from the last 6 meetings to 0. It put over 2.5 goals at 74% and both teams scoring at 59%. It ended 0-0, a draw the model had put at 13%.

Key facts before the match

• Paderborn are unbeaten in 8 matches.
• Mainz have won 3 matches in a row.
• They last met on 29 Feb 2020, when Mainz won 2-0.