Football · DFB Pokal · Germany
Paderborn vs Stuttgart
Wednesday, 28 October 2026
Upcoming. The scheduled start is still ahead. Match status has not been confirmed live.Match preview
The model makes Stuttgart favourites at 53% (Paderborn 24%, draw 23%). That rests on expected goals of 1.55 to 0.92 and 5 wins from the last 6 meetings to 0. Bookmakers give Stuttgart about 62% once their margin is removed, so the model is less confident than the market. It puts over 2.5 goals at 52% and both teams scoring at 49%.
Key facts
- They last met on 10 Oct 2026, when Stuttgart won 2-0.
Germany•DFB Pokal

Paderborn(0)
W0d
D7d
L14d
W23d
W34d
L42d
L49d
D56d
W62d
D77d

Stuttgart(5)
L1d
D4d
L7d
W10d
W14d
W23d
W29d
L35d
L42d
W45d
Wednesday, 28 October 2026 at 20:00
Upcoming. The scheduled start is still ahead. Match status has not been confirmed live.H2H: 0-1-5
Last 10 matches
1010
13/1320/9
1.302.00
1.300.90
6/108/10
4/106/10
7/106/10
5/102/10
3/104/10
4/102/10
6/108/10
5/106/10
4/104/10
Home & away form · from last 10 matches
Paderborn at homeStuttgart away
44
2/42/4
0/40/4
2/42/4
1.001.50
1.000.75
2/43/4
1/42/4
1/41/4
3/42/4
1/41/4
1/42/4
2/41/4
1/42/4
1/41/4
Model Prediction
Expected Goals
Paderborn: 0.92
Expected Goals
Stuttgart: 1.55
Paderborn
24%
Draw
23%
Stuttgart
53%
Over 2.5: 52%
BTTS: 49%
Quality: high
Market Odds (1X2)
Vig 7.6%
1 — Paderborn
5.50▲
Implied 17%
Edge +7.1%
X
4.40▼
Implied 21%
Edge +1.9%
2 — Stuttgart
1.50
Implied 62%
Edge -9.0%
Edge = model probability − market implied probability. Positive edge means the model rates that outcome higher than the bookmaker.
Team 1 Form
Paderborn · # = league position now
24 Oct2026
Paderborn#16 vs Hamburger sv#9
1-0W
17 Oct2026
Werder Bremen#8 vs Paderborn#16
2-2D
10 Oct2026
Paderborn#16 vs Stuttgart#14
0-2L
01 Oct2026
dc United#13 vs Paderborn#16
0-1W
20 Sept2026
Paderborn#16 vs Hoffenheim#13
3-1W
12 Sept2026
Dortmund#2 vs Paderborn#16
3-0L
05 Sept2026
Paderborn#16 vs Freiburg#3
0-1L
29 Aug2026
Mainz#5 vs Paderborn#16
0-0D
23 Aug2026
Phonix Lubeck vs Paderborn#16
2-4W
08 Aug2026
Werder Bremen#8 vs Paderborn#16
2-2D
Team 2 Form
Stuttgart · # = league position now
23 Oct2026
Stuttgart#14 vs b. Monchengladbach#18
2-3L
20 Oct2026
Stuttgart#14 vs Atl. Madrid#2
1-1D
17 Oct2026
Hamburger sv#9 vs Stuttgart#14
1-0L
14 Oct2026
Slovan Bratislava#4 vs Stuttgart#14
0-3W
10 Oct2026
Paderborn#16 vs Stuttgart#14
0-2W
01 Oct2026
Stuttgart#14 vs Greuther Furth#10
5-0W
25 Sept2026
Stuttgart#14 vs Heidenheim#6
3-0W
19 Sept2026
Stuttgart#14 vs Dortmund#2
0-1L
12 Sept2026
Hoffenheim#13 vs Stuttgart#14
2-1L
09 Sept2026
Stuttgart#14 vs Viking#2
3-1W
Head-to-Head
Last 10 · # = league position now
10 Oct2026
Paderborn#16 vs Stuttgart#14
0-2•
31 Jan2023
Paderborn#16 vs Stuttgart#14
1-2•
23 May2015
Paderborn#16 vs Stuttgart#14
1-2•
20 Dec2014
Stuttgart#14 vs Paderborn#16
0-0•
31 Oct2007
Stuttgart#14 vs Paderborn#16
3-2•
31 Aug2002
Paderborn#16 vs Stuttgart#14
1-4•
Upcoming matches
# = league position now
Paderborn
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