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Football · Bundesliga · Germany

Bayer Leverkusen vs Stuttgart

Saturday, 31 October 2026

Upcoming. The scheduled start is still ahead. Match status has not been confirmed live.

Match preview

The model makes Bayer Leverkusen favourites at 74% (Stuttgart 11%, draw 15%). That rests on expected goals of 2.27 to 0.69, Bayer Leverkusen sitting 4th in the table to Stuttgart's 14th and 8 wins in Bayer Leverkusen's last 10 matches to 5 for Stuttgart. Bookmakers give Bayer Leverkusen about 54% once their margin is removed, so the model is more confident than the market. It puts over 2.5 goals at 65% and both teams scoring at 51%.

Key facts

  • Bayer Leverkusen have won 6 matches in a row.
  • Bayer Leverkusen kept 6 clean sheets in their last 10 matches.
  • Bayer Leverkusen scored in every one of their last 10 matches.
  • They last met on 9 May 2026, when Stuttgart won 3-1.
Germany•Bundesliga
Bayer Leverkusen(3)
Rank 4 · 13 pts
W2d
W6d
W9d
W14d
W34d
W38d
D42d
W49d
L56d
W63d
8W · 1D · 1L
vs
Stuttgart(2)
Rank 14 · 6 pts
L1d
D4d
L7d
W10d
W14d
W23d
W29d
L35d
L42d
W45d
5W · 1D · 4L
Saturday, 31 October 2026 at 17:30
Upcoming. The scheduled start is still ahead. Match status has not been confirmed live.
H2H: 3-5-2
Last 10 matches
1010
28/920/9
2.802.00
0.900.90
10/108/10
10/106/10
4/106/10
3/102/10
6/104/10
0/102/10
10/108/10
7/106/10
4/104/10
Home & away form · from last 10 matches
Bayer Leverkusen at homeStuttgart away
44
4/42/4
0/40/4
0/42/4
2.501.50
0.250.75
4/43/4
4/42/4
1/41/4
1/42/4
0/41/4
3/42/4
0/41/4
2/42/4
1/41/4
Model Prediction
Expected Goals
Bayer Leverkusen: 2.27
Expected Goals
Stuttgart: 0.69
Bayer Leverkusen
74%
Draw
15%
Stuttgart
11%
Over 2.5: 65%
BTTS: 51%
Quality: high
Market Odds (1X2)
Vig 4.9%
1 — Bayer Leverkusen
1.77▲
Implied 54%
Edge +20.1%
X
4.40▲
Implied 22%
Edge -6.7%
2 — Stuttgart
3.90▲
Implied 24%
Edge -13.5%
Edge = model probability − market implied probability. Positive edge means the model rates that outcome higher than the bookmaker.
Team 1 Form
Bayer Leverkusen · # = league position now
22 Oct2026
Ofi Crete#5 vs Bayer Leverkusen#4
0-2W
18 Oct2026
Bayer Leverkusen#4 vs Freiburg#3
2-1W
15 Oct2026
Lech Poznan#2 vs Bayer Leverkusen#4
0-4W
10 Oct2026
Mainz#5 vs Bayer Leverkusen#4
3-4W
20 Sept2026
Bayer Leverkusen#4 vs rb Leipzig#7
2-0W
16 Sept2026
Bayer Leverkusen#4 vs Celje#29
2-0W
12 Sept2026
Augsburg#10 vs Bayer Leverkusen#4
2-2D
05 Sept2026
Bayer Leverkusen#4 vs Union Berlin#17
4-0W
29 Aug2026
Elversberg#6 vs Bayer Leverkusen#4
3-2L
22 Aug2026
Wehen vs Bayer Leverkusen#4
0-4W
Team 2 Form
Stuttgart · # = league position now
23 Oct2026
Stuttgart#14 vs b. Monchengladbach#18
2-3L
20 Oct2026
Stuttgart#14 vs Atl. Madrid#2
1-1D
17 Oct2026
Hamburger sv#9 vs Stuttgart#14
1-0L
14 Oct2026
Slovan Bratislava#4 vs Stuttgart#14
0-3W
10 Oct2026
Paderborn#16 vs Stuttgart#14
0-2W
01 Oct2026
Stuttgart#14 vs Greuther Furth#10
5-0W
25 Sept2026
Stuttgart#14 vs Heidenheim#6
3-0W
19 Sept2026
Stuttgart#14 vs Dortmund#2
0-1L
12 Sept2026
Hoffenheim#13 vs Stuttgart#14
2-1L
09 Sept2026
Stuttgart#14 vs Viking#2
3-1W
Head-to-Head
Last 10 · # = league position now
09 May2026
Stuttgart#14 vs Bayer Leverkusen#4
3-1•
10 Jan2026
Bayer Leverkusen#4 vs Stuttgart#14
1-4•
16 Mar2025
Stuttgart#14 vs Bayer Leverkusen#4
3-4•
01 Nov2024
Bayer Leverkusen#4 vs Stuttgart#14
0-0•
17 Aug2024
Bayer Leverkusen#4 vs Stuttgart#14
2-2•
27 Apr2024
Bayer Leverkusen#4 vs Stuttgart#14
2-2•
06 Feb2024
Bayer Leverkusen#4 vs Stuttgart#14
3-2•
10 Dec2023
Stuttgart#14 vs Bayer Leverkusen#4
1-1•
14 May2023
Stuttgart#14 vs Bayer Leverkusen#4
1-1•
12 Nov2022
Bayer Leverkusen#4 vs Stuttgart#14
2-0•
Upcoming matches
# = league position now

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