Football · Bundesliga · Germany
B. Monchengladbach vs Paderborn
Saturday, 31 October 2026
Upcoming. The scheduled start is still ahead. Match status has not been confirmed live.Match preview
The model makes Paderborn favourites at 49% (B. Monchengladbach 32%, draw 19%). That rests on expected goals of 2.08 to 1.64. B. Monchengladbach lead the head-to-head 6-4, which keeps it from being more one-sided. Bookmakers give Paderborn about 26% once their margin is removed, so the model is more confident than the market. It puts over 2.5 goals at 67% and both teams scoring at 60%.
Key facts
- B. Monchengladbach are 18th in Bundesliga on 3 points from 7 games; Paderborn are 16th on 5.
- They last met on 17 Jul 2021, when Paderborn won 3-1.
Germany•Bundesliga
vs
Saturday, 31 October 2026 at 17:30
Upcoming. The scheduled start is still ahead. Match status has not been confirmed live.H2H: 6-0-4
Last 10 matches
1010
20/2313/13
2.001.30
2.301.30
8/106/10
5/104/10
8/107/10
7/105/10
2/103/10
2/104/10
10/106/10
9/105/10
6/104/10
Home & away form · from last 10 matches
b. Monchengladbach at homePaderborn away
36
0/32/6
0/33/6
3/31/6
2.331.50
3.331.50
3/34/6
2/33/6
2/31/6
3/34/6
3/34/6
0/32/6
0/32/6
3/34/6
3/33/6
Model Prediction
Expected Goals
b. Monchengladbach: 1.64
Expected Goals
Paderborn: 2.08
b. Monchengladbach
32%
Draw
19%
Paderborn
49%
Over 2.5: 67%
BTTS: 60%
Quality: high
Market Odds (1X2)
Vig 5.6%
1 — B. Monchengladbach
1.87▲
Implied 51%
Edge -18.6%
X
4.10▼
Implied 23%
Edge -4.1%
2 — Paderborn
3.60▼
Implied 26%
Edge +22.7%
Edge = model probability − market implied probability. Positive edge means the model rates that outcome higher than the bookmaker.
Team 1 Form
b. Monchengladbach · # = league position now
23 Oct2026
Stuttgart#14 vs b. Monchengladbach#18
2-3W
18 Oct2026
b. Monchengladbach#18 vs Hoffenheim#13
1-2L
11 Oct2026
fc Koln#12 vs b. Monchengladbach#18
2-1L
03 Oct2026
St. Pauli#7 vs b. Monchengladbach#18
1-1D
24 Sept2026
Siegen vs b. Monchengladbach#18
0-3W
19 Sept2026
b. Monchengladbach#18 vs Mainz#5
3-4L
12 Sept2026
Freiburg#3 vs b. Monchengladbach#18
5-0L
05 Sept2026
b. Monchengladbach#18 vs Elversberg#6
3-4L
29 Aug2026
rb Leipzig#7 vs b. Monchengladbach#18
3-0L
23 Aug2026
Schott Mainz vs b. Monchengladbach#18
0-5W
Team 2 Form
Paderborn · # = league position now
24 Oct2026
Paderborn#16 vs Hamburger sv#9
1-0W
17 Oct2026
Werder Bremen#8 vs Paderborn#16
2-2D
10 Oct2026
Paderborn#16 vs Stuttgart#14
0-2L
01 Oct2026
dc United#13 vs Paderborn#16
0-1W
20 Sept2026
Paderborn#16 vs Hoffenheim#13
3-1W
12 Sept2026
Dortmund#2 vs Paderborn#16
3-0L
05 Sept2026
Paderborn#16 vs Freiburg#3
0-1L
29 Aug2026
Mainz#5 vs Paderborn#16
0-0D
23 Aug2026
Phonix Lubeck vs Paderborn#16
2-4W
08 Aug2026
Werder Bremen#8 vs Paderborn#16
2-2D
Head-to-Head
Last 10 · # = league position now
17 Jul2021
Paderborn#16 vs b. Monchengladbach#18
3-1•
22 Aug2020
Paderborn#16 vs b. Monchengladbach#18
0-2•
20 Jun2020
Paderborn#16 vs b. Monchengladbach#18
1-3•
18 Dec2019
b. Monchengladbach#18 vs Paderborn#16
2-0•
01 Mar2015
b. Monchengladbach#18 vs Paderborn#16
2-0•
27 Sept2014
Paderborn#16 vs b. Monchengladbach#18
1-2•
12 Oct2012
b. Monchengladbach#18 vs Paderborn#16
0-2•
04 Sept2009
Paderborn#16 vs b. Monchengladbach#18
1-0•
09 Jan2009
b. Monchengladbach#18 vs Paderborn#16
1-2•
18 May2008
Paderborn#16 vs b. Monchengladbach#18
2-3•
Upcoming matches
# = league position now
b. Monchengladbach
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