Liverpool vs Manchester City

Prediction and result

Before kickoff, the model made Manchester City favourites at 70% (Liverpool 13%, draw 17%). That rests on expected goals of 2.13 to 0.77, 9 wins in Manchester City's last 10 matches to 5 for Liverpool and 5 wins from the last 10 meetings to 3. It put over 2.5 goals at 56% and both teams scoring at 45%. Manchester City won 3-0, as the model expected.

Key facts before the match

• Liverpool are unbeaten in 9 matches.
• Manchester City have won 7 matches in a row.
• They last met on 4 Apr 2026, when Manchester City won 4-0.