Football · Ligue 1 · France
Lens vs Paris FC
Saturday, 24 October 2026
Upcoming. The scheduled start is still ahead. Match status has not been confirmed live.Match preview
The model makes Paris FC favourites at 48% (Lens 30%, draw 22%). That rests on Paris FC sitting 3rd in the table to Lens's 9th. Lens lead the head-to-head 5-2, which keeps it from being more one-sided. Bookmakers give Paris FC about 33% once their margin is removed, so the model is more confident than the market. It puts over 2.5 goals at 62% and both teams scoring at 55%.
Key facts
- Over 2.5 goals came in 7 of Lens's last 10 matches and 7 of Paris FC's.
- Paris FC failed to score in 3 of their last 6 away games.
- They last met on 14 Feb 2026, when Lens won 5-0.
- Paris FC concede 2 goals a game away from home.
France•Ligue 1
vs
Saturday, 24 October 2026 at 21:45
Upcoming. The scheduled start is still ahead. Match status has not been confirmed live.H2H: 5-3-2
Last 10 matches
1010
14/1616/16
1.401.60
1.601.60
7/106/10
5/106/10
9/107/10
6/105/10
1/103/10
3/104/10
9/107/10
7/107/10
6/105/10
Home & away form · from last 10 matches
Lens at homeParis fc away
36
1/31/6
0/32/6
2/33/6
0.671.17
1.332.00
1/33/6
1/33/6
0/31/6
3/35/6
1/34/6
0/31/6
2/33/6
1/34/6
1/33/6
Model Prediction
Expected Goals
Lens: 1.25
Expected Goals
Paris fc: 1.63
Lens
30%
Draw
22%
Paris fc
48%
Over 2.5: 62%
BTTS: 55%
Quality: high
Market Odds (1X2)
Vig 5.6%
1 — Lens
2.30▲
Implied 41%
Edge -11.2%
X
3.70▼
Implied 26%
Edge -3.6%
2 — Paris FC
2.85▼
Implied 33%
Edge +14.8%
Edge = model probability − market implied probability. Positive edge means the model rates that outcome higher than the bookmaker.
Team 1 Form
Lens · # = league position now
21 Oct2026
Club Brugge kv#2 vs Lens#9
3-0L
17 Oct2026
Troyes#17 vs Lens#9
1-3W
13 Oct2026
Lens#9 vs Sporting cp#3
0-2L
09 Oct2026
Lens#9 vs Lyon#1
2-1W
02 Oct2026
St. Liege#9 vs Lens#9
0-2W
18 Sept2026
Monaco#5 vs Lens#9
2-1L
13 Sept2026
le Mans#16 vs Lens#9
2-2D
10 Sept2026
Slavia Prague#1 vs Lens#9
2-3W
05 Sept2026
Lens#9 vs Lorient#7
0-1L
29 Aug2026
Strasbourg#14 vs Lens#9
2-1L
Team 2 Form
Paris fc · # = league position now
18 Oct2026
Paris fc#3 vs Rennes#6
4-3W
10 Oct2026
Lorient#7 vs Paris fc#3
1-0L
19 Sept2026
Paris fc#3 vs Strasbourg#14
2-1W
12 Sept2026
Paris fc#3 vs Lyon#1
0-0D
06 Sept2026
Marseille#10 vs Paris fc#3
2-3W
30 Aug2026
Paris fc#3 vs Nice#8
3-0W
22 Aug2026
Troyes#17 vs Paris fc#3
0-0D
15 Aug2026
Angers#15 vs Paris fc#3
3-2L
08 Aug2026
Mainz#5 vs Paris fc#3
4-0L
01 Aug2026
Stuttgart#14 vs Paris fc#3
2-2D
Head-to-Head
Last 10 · # = league position now
14 Feb2026
Paris fc#3 vs Lens#9
0-5•
19 Oct2025
Lens#9 vs Paris fc#3
2-1•
02 Jul2022
Lens#9 vs Paris fc#3
0-0•
05 Aug2020
Lens#9 vs Paris fc#3
1-2•
02 Mar2020
Paris fc#3 vs Lens#9
0-2•
28 Sept2019
Lens#9 vs Paris fc#3
2-1•
21 May2019
Paris fc#3 vs Lens#9
1-1•
03 Mar2019
Paris fc#3 vs Lens#9
2-0•
28 Sept2018
Lens#9 vs Paris fc#3
0-0•
30 Apr2018
Lens#9 vs Paris fc#3
1-0•
Upcoming matches
# = league position now
Lens
Prediction alerts
Know when the next pick goes live.
Email requires confirmation. Telegram requires pressing Start. Unsubscribe any time.
Explore more matches and live updates on the Football board.