Football · Ligue 1 · France
Lille vs Lens
Friday, 30 October 2026
Upcoming. The scheduled start is still ahead. Match status has not been confirmed live.Match preview
The model makes Lille favourites at 51% (Lens 28%, draw 21%). That rests on expected goals of 1.85 to 1.28, Lille sitting 4th in the table to Lens's 9th and 5 wins from the last 10 meetings to 2. Bookmakers give Lille about 41% once their margin is removed, so the model is more confident than the market. It puts over 2.5 goals at 60% and both teams scoring at 55%.
Key facts
- Lille have scored in all of their last 7 home games.
- They last met on 4 Apr 2026, when Lille won 3-0.
France•Ligue 1
vs
Friday, 30 October 2026 at 23:05
Upcoming. The scheduled start is still ahead. Match status has not been confirmed live.H2H: 5-3-2
Last 10 matches
1010
14/1614/16
1.401.40
1.601.60
9/107/10
5/105/10
7/109/10
5/106/10
3/101/10
1/103/10
8/109/10
6/107/10
6/106/10
Home & away form · from last 10 matches
Lille at homeLens away
77
3/73/7
2/71/7
2/73/7
1.711.71
1.571.71
7/76/7
5/74/7
0/72/7
5/76/7
3/75/7
2/71/7
0/71/7
4/76/7
5/75/7
Model Prediction
Expected Goals
Lille: 1.85
Expected Goals
Lens: 1.28
Lille
51%
Draw
21%
Lens
28%
Over 2.5: 60%
BTTS: 55%
Quality: high
Market Odds (1X2)
Vig 5.7%
1 — Lille
2.30▼
Implied 41%
Edge +9.9%
X
3.60▼
Implied 26%
Edge -5.3%
2 — Lens
2.90▲
Implied 33%
Edge -4.6%
Edge = model probability − market implied probability. Positive edge means the model rates that outcome higher than the bookmaker.
Team 1 Form
Lille · # = league position now
21 Oct2026
Lille#4 vs Galatasaray#1
2-4L
17 Oct2026
Lille#4 vs Brest#11
1-1D
13 Oct2026
Arsenal#2 vs Lille#4
3-0L
10 Oct2026
Lille#4 vs le Havre#18
1-0W
02 Oct2026
Lille#4 vs Waregem#8
2-1W
20 Sept2026
Nice#8 vs Lille#4
2-1L
13 Sept2026
Lille#4 vs Troyes#17
2-0W
08 Sept2026
Lille#4 vs Betis#4
2-3L
03 Sept2026
Toulouse#12 vs Lille#4
0-1W
28 Aug2026
Lille#4 vs Psg#2
2-2D
Team 2 Form
Lens · # = league position now
21 Oct2026
Club Brugge kv#2 vs Lens#9
3-0L
17 Oct2026
Troyes#17 vs Lens#9
1-3W
13 Oct2026
Lens#9 vs Sporting cp#3
0-2L
09 Oct2026
Lens#9 vs Lyon#1
2-1W
02 Oct2026
St. Liege#9 vs Lens#9
0-2W
18 Sept2026
Monaco#5 vs Lens#9
2-1L
13 Sept2026
le Mans#16 vs Lens#9
2-2D
10 Sept2026
Slavia Prague#1 vs Lens#9
2-3W
05 Sept2026
Lens#9 vs Lorient#7
0-1L
29 Aug2026
Strasbourg#14 vs Lens#9
2-1L
Head-to-Head
Last 10 · # = league position now
04 Apr2026
Lille#4 vs Lens#9
3-0•
20 Sept2025
Lens#9 vs Lille#4
3-0•
30 Mar2025
Lille#4 vs Lens#9
1-0•
26 Oct2024
Lens#9 vs Lille#4
0-2•
29 Mar2024
Lille#4 vs Lens#9
2-1•
08 Oct2023
Lens#9 vs Lille#4
1-1•
04 Mar2023
Lens#9 vs Lille#4
1-1•
09 Oct2022
Lille#4 vs Lens#9
1-0•
16 Apr2022
Lille#4 vs Lens#9
1-2•
04 Jan2022
Lens#9 vs Lille#4
2-2•
Upcoming matches
# = league position now
Lille
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