Lens vs Como

Match preview

The model makes Como favourites at 71% (Lens 13%, draw 16%). That rests on expected goals of 2.22 to 0.78, Como sitting 9th in the table to Lens's 27th and 6 wins in Como's last 10 matches to 4 for Lens. Bookmakers give Como about 38% once their margin is removed, so the model is more confident than the market. It puts over 2.5 goals at 63% and both teams scoring at 56%.

Key facts

• Over 2.5 goals came in 7 of Lens's last 10 matches and 7 of Como's.