Football · Ligue 1 · France
Paris FC vs Monaco
Sunday, 01 November 2026
Upcoming. The scheduled start is still ahead. Match status has not been confirmed live.Match preview
The model makes Monaco favourites at 43% (Paris FC 35%, draw 22%). That rests on 7 wins in Monaco's last 10 matches to 4 for Paris FC. Paris FC lead the head-to-head 2-0, which keeps it from being more one-sided. Bookmakers give Monaco about 33% once their margin is removed, so the model is more confident than the market. It puts over 2.5 goals at 60% and both teams scoring at 56%.
Key facts
- Paris FC are 3rd in Ligue 1 on 14 points from 7 games; Monaco are 5th on 14.
- They last met on 10 Apr 2026, when Paris FC won 4-1.
France•Ligue 1
vs
Sunday, 01 November 2026 at 19:15
Upcoming. The scheduled start is still ahead. Match status has not been confirmed live.H2H: 3-1-3
Last 10 matches
1010
16/1620/8
1.602.00
1.600.80
6/109/10
6/108/10
7/107/10
5/101/10
3/103/10
4/101/10
7/109/10
7/106/10
5/106/10
Home & away form · from last 10 matches
Paris fc at homeMonaco away
44
3/42/4
1/41/4
0/41/4
2.251.25
1.001.00
3/43/4
3/42/4
2/40/4
2/44/4
1/40/4
2/40/4
1/41/4
3/42/4
2/43/4
Model Prediction
Expected Goals
Paris fc: 1.36
Expected Goals
Monaco: 1.53
Paris fc
35%
Draw
22%
Monaco
43%
Over 2.5: 60%
BTTS: 56%
Quality: high
Market Odds (1X2)
Vig 5.7%
1 — Paris FC
2.30▲
Implied 41%
Edge -6.1%
X
3.60▼
Implied 26%
Edge -4.3%
2 — Monaco
2.90
Implied 33%
Edge +10.4%
Edge = model probability − market implied probability. Positive edge means the model rates that outcome higher than the bookmaker.
Team 1 Form
Paris fc · # = league position now
18 Oct2026
Paris fc#3 vs Rennes#6
4-3W
10 Oct2026
Lorient#7 vs Paris fc#3
1-0L
19 Sept2026
Paris fc#3 vs Strasbourg#14
2-1W
12 Sept2026
Paris fc#3 vs Lyon#1
0-0D
06 Sept2026
Marseille#10 vs Paris fc#3
2-3W
30 Aug2026
Paris fc#3 vs Nice#8
3-0W
22 Aug2026
Troyes#17 vs Paris fc#3
0-0D
15 Aug2026
Angers#15 vs Paris fc#3
3-2L
08 Aug2026
Mainz#5 vs Paris fc#3
4-0L
01 Aug2026
Stuttgart#14 vs Paris fc#3
2-2D
Team 2 Form
Monaco · # = league position now
22 Oct2026
Monaco#5 vs Freiburg#3
3-0W
18 Oct2026
Lorient#7 vs Monaco#5
1-0L
15 Oct2026
Cska Sofia#2 vs Monaco#5
1-2W
10 Oct2026
Monaco#5 vs Toulouse#12
2-2D
03 Oct2026
Monaco#5 vs Pisa#3
2-0W
18 Sept2026
Monaco#5 vs Lens#9
2-1W
12 Sept2026
Strasbourg#14 vs Monaco#5
1-1D
04 Sept2026
Psg#2 vs Monaco#5
1-2W
30 Aug2026
Monaco#5 vs Marseille#10
2-0W
27 Aug2026
Monaco#5 vs Gornik Zabrze#1
4-1W
Head-to-Head
Last 10 · # = league position now
10 Apr2026
Paris fc#3 vs Monaco#5
4-1•
01 Nov2025
Monaco#5 vs Paris fc#3
0-1•
18 Jul2015
Paris fc#3 vs Monaco#5
0-0•
04 Feb2079
Paris fc#3 vs Monaco#5
1-7•
25 Aug2078
Monaco#5 vs Paris fc#3
2-1•
22 May2074
Monaco#5 vs Paris fc#3
3-0•
16 Dec2073
Paris fc#3 vs Monaco#5
4-0•
Upcoming matches
# = league position now
Paris fc
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