Freiburg vs Schalke

Prediction and result

Before kickoff, the model made Freiburg favourites at 68% (Schalke 17%, draw 15%). That rests on expected goals of 2.68 to 1.26, 9 wins in Freiburg's last 10 matches to 5 for Schalke and 6 wins from the last 10 meetings to 2. It put over 2.5 goals at 73% and both teams scoring at 50%. Freiburg won 2-1, as the model expected.

Key facts before the match

• Freiburg are unbeaten in 10 matches.
• Schalke are unbeaten in 5 matches.
• They last met on 23 Apr 2023, when Freiburg won 4-0.