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Football · Bundesliga · Germany

Augsburg vs Freiburg

Saturday, 31 October 2026

Upcoming. The scheduled start is still ahead. Match status has not been confirmed live.

Match preview

The model makes Freiburg favourites at 52% (Augsburg 29%, draw 19%). That rests on expected goals of 2.23 to 1.64, Freiburg sitting 3rd in the table to Augsburg's 10th, 7 wins in Freiburg's last 10 matches to 4 for Augsburg and 6 wins from the last 10 meetings to 2. Bookmakers give Freiburg about 44% once their margin is removed, so the model is more confident than the market. It puts over 2.5 goals at 77% and both teams scoring at 70%.

Key facts

  • Augsburg have gone 5 matches without a win.
  • Over 2.5 goals came in 9 of Augsburg's last 10 matches and 9 of Freiburg's.
  • Augsburg have scored in all of their last 5 home games.
  • Both teams scored in 7 of Augsburg's last 10 matches and 7 of Freiburg's.
  • They last met on 18 Jan 2026, when it finished 2-2.
Germany•Bundesliga
Augsburg(2)
Rank 10 · 8 pts
L7d
D14d
D22d
L35d
D42d
W48d
W55d
W63d
L70d
W77d
4W · 3D · 3L
vs
Freiburg(6)
Rank 3 · 13 pts
L2d
L6d
W9d
W13d
W21d
D35d
W42d
W49d
W55d
W58d
7W · 1D · 2L
Saturday, 31 October 2026 at 17:30
Upcoming. The scheduled start is still ahead. Match status has not been confirmed live.
H2H: 2-2-6
Last 10 matches
1010
23/2026/14
2.302.60
2.001.40
9/109/10
9/107/10
8/108/10
7/105/10
2/102/10
1/101/10
10/109/10
9/109/10
7/107/10
Home & away form · from last 10 matches
Augsburg at homeFreiburg away
54
2/51/4
3/51/4
0/52/4
2.401.00
1.601.75
5/53/4
5/51/4
2/50/4
4/53/4
4/53/4
1/51/4
0/51/4
5/53/4
4/52/4
Model Prediction
Expected Goals
Augsburg: 1.64
Expected Goals
Freiburg: 2.23
Augsburg
29%
Draw
19%
Freiburg
52%
Over 2.5: 77%
BTTS: 70%
Quality: high
Market Odds (1X2)
Vig 6.1%
1 — Augsburg
2.95
Implied 32%
Edge -3.0%
X
3.90
Implied 24%
Edge -5.2%
2 — Freiburg
2.15
Implied 44%
Edge +8.1%
Edge = model probability − market implied probability. Positive edge means the model rates that outcome higher than the bookmaker.
Team 1 Form
Augsburg · # = league position now
17 Oct2026
Elversberg#6 vs Augsburg#10
4-3L
10 Oct2026
Augsburg#10 vs Bayern Munich#1
2-2D
02 Oct2026
Augsburg#10 vs Hertha Berlin#1
2-2D
19 Sept2026
Werder Bremen#8 vs Augsburg#10
3-2L
12 Sept2026
Augsburg#10 vs Bayer Leverkusen#4
2-2D
06 Sept2026
Eintracht Frankfurt#11 vs Augsburg#10
1-4W
30 Aug2026
Augsburg#10 vs Schalke#15
3-0W
22 Aug2026
Cottbus#8 vs Augsburg#10
0-2W
15 Aug2026
Leeds#8 vs Augsburg#10
4-0L
08 Aug2026
Augsburg#10 vs Sassuolo#13
3-2W
Team 2 Form
Freiburg · # = league position now
22 Oct2026
Monaco#5 vs Freiburg#3
3-0L
18 Oct2026
Bayer Leverkusen#4 vs Freiburg#3
2-1L
15 Oct2026
Freiburg#3 vs Jablonec#7
3-2W
11 Oct2026
Freiburg#3 vs Schalke#15
2-1W
03 Oct2026
Freiburg#3 vs Luzern#8
4-2W
19 Sept2026
Eintracht Frankfurt#11 vs Freiburg#3
2-2D
12 Sept2026
Freiburg#3 vs b. Monchengladbach#18
5-0W
05 Sept2026
Paderborn#16 vs Freiburg#3
0-1W
30 Aug2026
Freiburg#3 vs Werder Bremen#8
4-1W
27 Aug2026
Freiburg#3 vs Motherwell#10
4-1W
Head-to-Head
Last 10 · # = league position now
18 Jan2026
Augsburg#10 vs Freiburg#3
2-2•
23 Aug2025
Freiburg#3 vs Augsburg#10
1-3•
02 Mar2025
Augsburg#10 vs Freiburg#3
0-0•
19 Oct2024
Freiburg#3 vs Augsburg#10
3-1•
25 Feb2024
Augsburg#10 vs Freiburg#3
2-1•
01 Oct2023
Freiburg#3 vs Augsburg#10
2-0•
28 Jan2023
Freiburg#3 vs Augsburg#10
3-1•
06 Aug2022
Augsburg#10 vs Freiburg#3
0-4•
19 Feb2022
Augsburg#10 vs Freiburg#3
1-2•
26 Sept2021
Freiburg#3 vs Augsburg#10
3-0•
Upcoming matches
# = league position now

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