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Football · DFB Pokal · Germany

Freiburg vs Wolfsburg

Wednesday, 28 October 2026

Upcoming. The scheduled start is still ahead. Match status has not been confirmed live.

Match preview

The model makes Freiburg favourites at 49% (Wolfsburg 33%, draw 18%). That rests on expected goals of 2.43 to 2.02, 7 wins in Freiburg's last 10 matches to 5 for Wolfsburg and 6 wins from the last 10 meetings to 3. Bookmakers give Freiburg about 66% once their margin is removed, so the model is less confident than the market. It puts over 2.5 goals at 75% and both teams scoring at 75%.

Key facts

  • Wolfsburg are unbeaten in 5 matches.
  • Over 2.5 goals came in 9 of Freiburg's last 10 matches and 7 of Wolfsburg's.
  • Freiburg have scored in all of their last 6 home games.
  • Freiburg average 3.67 goals a game at home.
  • Both teams scored in 7 of Freiburg's last 10 matches and 8 of Wolfsburg's.
Germany•DFB Pokal
Freiburg(6)
L2d
L6d
W9d
W13d
W21d
D35d
W42d
W49d
W55d
W58d
7W · 1D · 2L
vs
Wolfsburg(3)
D1d
W7d
D14d
W23d
W36d
L42d
D49d
W56d
D61d
W69d
5W · 4D · 1L
Wednesday, 28 October 2026 at 20:00
Upcoming. The scheduled start is still ahead. Match status has not been confirmed live.
H2H: 6-1-3
Last 10 matches
1010
26/1430/18
2.603.00
1.401.80
9/109/10
7/107/10
8/109/10
5/104/10
2/101/10
1/101/10
9/108/10
9/107/10
7/108/10
Home & away form · from last 10 matches
Freiburg at homeWolfsburg away
66
6/62/6
0/63/6
0/61/6
3.672.33
1.171.83
6/65/6
6/63/6
5/63/6
5/65/6
2/63/6
1/61/6
0/61/6
6/63/6
5/64/6
Model Prediction
Expected Goals
Freiburg: 2.43
Expected Goals
Wolfsburg: 2.02
Freiburg
49%
Draw
18%
Wolfsburg
33%
Over 2.5: 75%
BTTS: 75%
Quality: high
Market Odds (1X2)
Vig 6.6%
1 — Freiburg
1.42▼
Implied 66%
Edge -17.1%
X
5.00▲
Implied 19%
Edge -0.8%
2 — Wolfsburg
6.20▲
Implied 15%
Edge +17.9%
Edge = model probability − market implied probability. Positive edge means the model rates that outcome higher than the bookmaker.
Team 1 Form
Freiburg · # = league position now
22 Oct2026
Monaco#5 vs Freiburg#3
3-0L
18 Oct2026
Bayer Leverkusen#4 vs Freiburg#3
2-1L
15 Oct2026
Freiburg#3 vs Jablonec#7
3-2W
11 Oct2026
Freiburg#3 vs Schalke#15
2-1W
03 Oct2026
Freiburg#3 vs Luzern#8
4-2W
19 Sept2026
Eintracht Frankfurt#11 vs Freiburg#3
2-2D
12 Sept2026
Freiburg#3 vs b. Monchengladbach#18
5-0W
05 Sept2026
Paderborn#16 vs Freiburg#3
0-1W
30 Aug2026
Freiburg#3 vs Werder Bremen#8
4-1W
27 Aug2026
Freiburg#3 vs Motherwell#10
4-1W
Team 2 Form
Wolfsburg · # = league position now
23 Oct2026
Bochum#13 vs Wolfsburg#3
1-1D
17 Oct2026
Wolfsburg#3 vs Heidenheim#6
3-1W
10 Oct2026
Nurnberg#2 vs Wolfsburg#3
4-4D
01 Oct2026
Wolfsburg#3 vs Tsv Havelse
4-1W
18 Sept2026
Wolfsburg#3 vs Darmstadt#16
5-1W
12 Sept2026
St. Pauli#7 vs Wolfsburg#3
1-0L
05 Sept2026
Wolfsburg#3 vs Cottbus#8
4-4D
29 Aug2026
Karlsruher sc#14 vs Wolfsburg#3
2-5W
24 Aug2026
Altglienicke vs Wolfsburg#3
3-3D
16 Aug2026
Hannover#15 vs Wolfsburg#3
0-1W
Head-to-Head
Last 10 · # = league position now
03 May2026
Freiburg#3 vs Wolfsburg#3
1-1•
20 Dec2025
Wolfsburg#3 vs Freiburg#3
3-4•
26 Apr2025
Wolfsburg#3 vs Freiburg#3
0-1•
13 Dec2024
Freiburg#3 vs Wolfsburg#3
3-2•
27 Apr2024
Freiburg#3 vs Wolfsburg#3
1-2•
09 Dec2023
Wolfsburg#3 vs Freiburg#3
0-1•
22 Jul2023
Freiburg#3 vs Wolfsburg#3
2-3•
19 May2023
Freiburg#3 vs Wolfsburg#3
2-0•
21 Jan2023
Wolfsburg#3 vs Freiburg#3
6-0•
12 Mar2022
Freiburg#3 vs Wolfsburg#3
3-2•
Upcoming matches
# = league position now

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