Burnley vs Derby

Prediction and result

Before kickoff, the model made Burnley favourites at 39% (Derby 37%, draw 24%). That rests on 6 wins from the last 10 meetings to 0. It put over 2.5 goals at 46% and both teams scoring at 51%. It ended 1-1, a draw the model had put at 24%.

Key facts before the match

• Burnley have gone 10 matches without a win.
• Derby have lost 3 matches in a row.
• They last met on 26 Aug 2025, when Burnley won 2-1.