Southampton vs Burnley

Match preview

The model makes Southampton favourites at 72% (Burnley 13%, draw 15%). That rests on expected goals of 2.43 to 0.91, Southampton sitting 7th in the table to Burnley's 22nd and 6 wins in Southampton's last 10 matches to 1 for Burnley. Burnley lead the head-to-head 4-2, which keeps it from being more one-sided. It puts over 2.5 goals at 59% and both teams scoring at 58%.

Key facts

• Burnley have gone 6 matches without a win.
• They last met on 8 Feb 2025, when Burnley won 1-0.
• Burnley have scored in all of their last 6 away games.
• Burnley concede 2.33 goals a game away from home.