Millwall vs Burnley

Match preview

The model makes Millwall favourites at 55% (Burnley 25%, draw 20%). That rests on expected goals of 1.96 to 1.23, Millwall sitting 13th in the table to Burnley's 22nd and 3 wins in Millwall's last 10 matches to 1 for Burnley. Burnley lead the head-to-head 6-1, which keeps it from being more one-sided. It puts over 2.5 goals at 57% and both teams scoring at 61%.

Key facts

• They last met on 10 Jan 2026, when Burnley won 5-1.
• Burnley concede 2 goals a game away from home.