Stoke vs Millwall

Match preview

The model makes Stoke favourites at 55% (Millwall 24%, draw 21%). That rests on expected goals of 1.73 to 1.03, Stoke sitting 9th in the table to Millwall's 13th and 6 wins in Stoke's last 10 matches to 2 for Millwall. Millwall lead the head-to-head 7-1, which keeps it from being more one-sided. It puts over 2.5 goals at 49% and both teams scoring at 50%.

Key facts

• They last met on 21 Apr 2026, when Millwall won 3-1.
• Only 2 of the last 10 meetings had three or more goals.