Stoke vs Preston

Match preview

The model makes Stoke favourites at 83% (Preston 5%, draw 12%). That rests on expected goals of 2.45 to 0.40, Stoke sitting 9th in the table to Preston's 24th and 6 wins in Stoke's last 10 matches to 1 for Preston. Preston lead the head-to-head 4-2, which keeps it from being more one-sided. Bookmakers give Stoke about 56% once their margin is removed, so the model is more confident than the market. It puts over 2.5 goals at 52% and both teams scoring at 43%.

Key facts

• Preston have gone 7 matches without a win.
• They last met on 20 Mar 2026, when Preston won 3-1.
• Preston concede 2.6 goals a game away from home.