Football · Championship · England
Middlesbrough vs Derby
Saturday, 05 December 2026
Upcoming. The scheduled start is still ahead. Match status has not been confirmed live.Match preview
The model makes Middlesbrough favourites at 82% (Derby 7%, draw 11%). That rests on expected goals of 2.77 to 0.63, Middlesbrough sitting 2nd in the table to Derby's 23rd and 5 wins in Middlesbrough's last 10 matches to 1 for Derby. It puts over 2.5 goals at 58% and both teams scoring at 48%.
Key facts
- Middlesbrough have scored in all of their last 5 home games.
- They last met on 1 Jan 2026, when Derby won 1-0.
- Derby concede 2.5 goals a game away from home.
England•Championship
vs
Saturday, 05 December 2026 at 15:30
Upcoming. The scheduled start is still ahead. Match status has not been confirmed live.H2H: 4-2-4
Last 10 matches
1010
22/149/20
2.200.90
1.402.00
8/107/10
7/101/10
7/1010/10
6/104/10
3/100/10
2/103/10
8/108/10
7/105/10
6/107/10
Home & away form · from last 10 matches
Middlesbrough at homeDerby away
54
3/50/4
2/52/4
0/52/4
2.401.00
1.402.50
5/54/4
4/50/4
2/50/4
3/54/4
3/52/4
2/50/4
0/50/4
4/52/4
3/54/4
Model Prediction
Expected Goals
Middlesbrough: 2.77
Expected Goals
Derby: 0.63
Middlesbrough
82%
Draw
11%
Derby
7%
Over 2.5: 58%
BTTS: 48%
Quality: high
Market Odds (1X2)
Bookmaker odds not available for this match.
Team 1 Form
Middlesbrough · # = league position now
07 Nov2026
Watford#20 vs Middlesbrough#2
0-0D
04 Nov2026
Wrexham#15 vs Middlesbrough#2
2-0L
31 Oct2026
Middlesbrough#2 vs Charlton#19
3-0W
23 Oct2026
Bolton#18 vs Middlesbrough#2
1-5W
17 Oct2026
Middlesbrough#2 vs Cardiff#14
2-2D
13 Oct2026
Stoke#3 vs Middlesbrough#2
2-3W
10 Oct2026
Middlesbrough#2 vs Wolves#4
1-0W
19 Sept2026
Birmingham#1 vs Middlesbrough#2
2-2D
15 Sept2026
Middlesbrough#2 vs Millwall#16
2-2D
12 Sept2026
Middlesbrough#2 vs Norwich#12
4-3W
Team 2 Form
Derby · # = league position now
06 Nov2026
Derby#23 vs Bolton#18
3-1W
03 Nov2026
Derby#23 vs Norwich#12
0-4L
31 Oct2026
Millwall#16 vs Derby#23
4-1L
24 Oct2026
Sheffield Utd#10 vs Derby#23
1-1D
17 Oct2026
Derby#23 vs Stoke#3
0-1L
14 Oct2026
Qpr#8 vs Derby#23
4-1L
10 Oct2026
Derby#23 vs Wrexham#15
1-1D
19 Sept2026
Burnley#22 vs Derby#23
1-1D
12 Sept2026
Derby#23 vs Birmingham#1
1-2L
09 Sept2026
Derby#23 vs West Brom#5
0-1L
Head-to-Head
Last 10 · # = league position now
01 Jan2026
Derby#23 vs Middlesbrough#2
1-0•
29 Nov2025
Middlesbrough#2 vs Derby#23
2-1•
01 Mar2025
Middlesbrough#2 vs Derby#23
1-0•
17 Aug2024
Derby#23 vs Middlesbrough#2
1-0•
12 Feb2022
Middlesbrough#2 vs Derby#23
4-1•
21 Aug2021
Derby#23 vs Middlesbrough#2
0-0•
13 Feb2021
Derby#23 vs Middlesbrough#2
2-1•
25 Nov2020
Middlesbrough#2 vs Derby#23
3-0•
11 Jan2020
Middlesbrough#2 vs Derby#23
2-2•
02 Nov2019
Derby#23 vs Middlesbrough#2
2-0•
Upcoming matches
# = league position now
Middlesbrough
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