Ajax vs Excelsior

Prediction and result

Before kickoff, the model made Ajax favourites at 47% (Excelsior 35%, draw 18%). That rests on 6 wins from the last 10 meetings to 1. It put over 2.5 goals at 88% and both teams scoring at 82%. It ended 2-2, a draw the model had put at 18%.

Key facts before the match

• They last met on 1 Feb 2026, when it finished 2-2.
• 10 of the last 10 meetings had three or more goals.