Football · Eredivisie · Netherlands
Excelsior vs Twente
Sunday, 01 November 2026
Upcoming. The scheduled start is still ahead. Match status has not been confirmed live.Match preview
The model makes Twente favourites at 74% (Excelsior 12%, draw 14%). That rests on expected goals of 2.78 to 1.04, Twente sitting 5th in the table to Excelsior's 10th and 7 wins in Twente's last 10 matches to 4 for Excelsior. Bookmakers give Twente about 61% once their margin is removed, so the model is more confident than the market. It puts over 2.5 goals at 70% and both teams scoring at 53%.
Key facts
- Excelsior have gone 5 matches without a win.
- Twente scored in every one of their last 10 matches.
- They last met on 24 Jan 2026, when it finished 0-0.
Netherlands•Eredivisie
vs
Sunday, 01 November 2026 at 16:30
Upcoming. The scheduled start is still ahead. Match status has not been confirmed live.H2H: 3-4-3
Last 10 matches
1010
21/1926/9
2.102.60
1.900.90
9/1010/10
6/106/10
8/106/10
6/103/10
2/104/10
1/100/10
10/108/10
10/106/10
7/106/10
Home & away form · from last 10 matches
Excelsior at homeTwente away
44
1/42/4
0/42/4
3/40/4
1.252.75
2.501.25
4/44/4
1/43/4
0/42/4
4/44/4
3/41/4
0/40/4
0/40/4
4/43/4
4/44/4
Model Prediction
Expected Goals
Excelsior: 1.04
Expected Goals
Twente: 2.78
Excelsior
12%
Draw
14%
Twente
74%
Over 2.5: 70%
BTTS: 53%
Quality: high
Market Odds (1X2)
Vig 7.6%
1 — Excelsior
5.10▼
Implied 18%
Edge -6.2%
X
4.50▼
Implied 21%
Edge -6.6%
2 — Twente
1.52▲
Implied 61%
Edge +12.9%
Edge = model probability − market implied probability. Positive edge means the model rates that outcome higher than the bookmaker.
Team 1 Form
Excelsior · # = league position now
16 Oct2026
Heerenveen#9 vs Excelsior#10
4-0L
11 Oct2026
Excelsior#10 vs Groningen#7
1-5L
19 Sept2026
Ajax#4 vs Excelsior#10
2-2D
13 Sept2026
Excelsior#10 vs Utrecht#11
1-2L
08 Sept2026
Nijmegen#12 vs Excelsior#10
2-2D
05 Sept2026
Willem ii#18 vs Excelsior#10
0-3W
29 Aug2026
Excelsior#10 vs Sparta Rotterdam#13
2-1W
15 Aug2026
Excelsior#10 vs Psv#3
1-2L
07 Aug2026
Cambuur#14 vs Excelsior#10
0-4W
01 Aug2026
de Graafschap#16 vs Excelsior#10
1-5W
Team 2 Form
Twente · # = league position now
22 Oct2026
Lincoln Red Imps#33 vs Twente#5
1-4W
18 Oct2026
Twente#5 vs Utrecht#11
1-2L
15 Oct2026
Twente#5 vs Thun#9
1-0W
10 Oct2026
Sittard#6 vs Twente#5
1-1D
02 Oct2026
Twente#5 vs Werder Bremen#8
7-0W
20 Sept2026
Twente#5 vs Psv#3
3-2W
12 Sept2026
Twente#5 vs Den Haag#16
2-0W
09 Sept2026
Twente#5 vs Telstar#17
1-0W
06 Sept2026
Groningen#7 vs Twente#5
2-2D
30 Aug2026
Cambuur#14 vs Twente#5
1-4W
Head-to-Head
Last 10 · # = league position now
24 Jan2026
Twente#5 vs Excelsior#10
0-0•
30 Aug2025
Excelsior#10 vs Twente#5
1-0•
10 Feb2024
Excelsior#10 vs Twente#5
0-3•
08 Dec2023
Twente#5 vs Excelsior#10
4-2•
01 Apr2023
Excelsior#10 vs Twente#5
0-0•
31 Aug2022
Twente#5 vs Excelsior#10
4-0•
23 Dec2017
Excelsior#10 vs Twente#5
0-0•
27 Oct2017
Twente#5 vs Excelsior#10
1-3•
12 Feb2017
Excelsior#10 vs Twente#5
1-1•
06 Aug2016
Twente#5 vs Excelsior#10
1-2•
Upcoming matches
# = league position now
Excelsior
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