Football · Eredivisie · Netherlands
AZ Alkmaar vs Twente
Sunday, 25 October 2026
Upcoming. The scheduled start is still ahead. Match status has not been confirmed live.Match preview
The model makes AZ Alkmaar favourites at 41% (Twente 38%, draw 21%). That rests on 5 wins from the last 10 meetings to 3. Bookmakers give AZ Alkmaar about 45% once their margin is removed, close to the model's view. It puts over 2.5 goals at 63% and both teams scoring at 63%.
Key facts
- Twente scored in every one of their last 10 matches.
- AZ Alkmaar are 2nd in Eredivisie on 20 points from 9 games; Twente are 5th on 17.
- They last met on 3 May 2026, when it finished 2-2.
Netherlands•Eredivisie
vs
Sunday, 25 October 2026 at 22:00
Upcoming. The scheduled start is still ahead. Match status has not been confirmed live.H2H: 5-2-3
Last 10 matches
1010
20/1126/9
2.002.60
1.100.90
8/1010/10
6/106/10
7/106/10
4/103/10
3/104/10
2/100/10
8/108/10
5/106/10
5/106/10
Home & away form · from last 10 matches
az Alkmaar at homeTwente away
44
3/42/4
1/42/4
0/40/4
2.252.75
1.001.25
4/44/4
2/43/4
1/42/4
3/44/4
1/41/4
1/40/4
0/40/4
2/43/4
3/44/4
Model Prediction
Expected Goals
az Alkmaar: 1.75
Expected Goals
Twente: 1.67
az Alkmaar
41%
Draw
21%
Twente
38%
Over 2.5: 63%
BTTS: 63%
Quality: high
Market Odds (1X2)
Vig 6.6%
1 — AZ Alkmaar
2.10▼
Implied 45%
Edge -3.7%
X
3.90
Implied 24%
Edge -3.1%
2 — Twente
3.00▲
Implied 31%
Edge +6.7%
Edge = model probability − market implied probability. Positive edge means the model rates that outcome higher than the bookmaker.
Team 1 Form
az Alkmaar · # = league position now
22 Oct2026
Ararat-armenia#36 vs az Alkmaar#2
0-4W
18 Oct2026
Cambuur#14 vs az Alkmaar#2
2-2D
15 Oct2026
az Alkmaar#2 vs h. Beer Sheva#30
2-1W
10 Oct2026
Feyenoord#1 vs az Alkmaar#2
2-0L
20 Sept2026
az Alkmaar#2 vs Telstar#17
1-0W
16 Sept2026
Sunderland#20 vs az Alkmaar#2
1-0L
11 Sept2026
az Alkmaar#2 vs Willem ii#18
1-1D
06 Sept2026
Heerenveen#9 vs az Alkmaar#2
2-3W
29 Aug2026
az Alkmaar#2 vs G.a. Eagles#8
5-2W
22 Aug2026
Sittard#6 vs az Alkmaar#2
0-2W
Team 2 Form
Twente · # = league position now
22 Oct2026
Lincoln Red Imps#33 vs Twente#5
1-4W
18 Oct2026
Twente#5 vs Utrecht#11
1-2L
15 Oct2026
Twente#5 vs Thun#9
1-0W
10 Oct2026
Sittard#6 vs Twente#5
1-1D
02 Oct2026
Twente#5 vs Werder Bremen#8
7-0W
20 Sept2026
Twente#5 vs Psv#3
3-2W
12 Sept2026
Twente#5 vs Den Haag#16
2-0W
09 Sept2026
Twente#5 vs Telstar#17
1-0W
06 Sept2026
Groningen#7 vs Twente#5
2-2D
30 Aug2026
Cambuur#14 vs Twente#5
1-4W
Head-to-Head
Last 10 · # = league position now
03 May2026
az Alkmaar#2 vs Twente#5
2-2•
03 Feb2026
az Alkmaar#2 vs Twente#5
2-1•
30 Nov2025
Twente#5 vs az Alkmaar#2
1-0•
25 May2025
az Alkmaar#2 vs Twente#5
3-2•
14 May2025
Twente#5 vs az Alkmaar#2
2-3•
21 Dec2024
az Alkmaar#2 vs Twente#5
1-0•
05 May2024
az Alkmaar#2 vs Twente#5
2-1•
13 Jan2024
Twente#5 vs az Alkmaar#2
2-1•
19 Mar2023
Twente#5 vs az Alkmaar#2
2-1•
11 Sept2022
az Alkmaar#2 vs Twente#5
1-1•
Upcoming matches
# = league position now
az Alkmaar
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