Football · Eredivisie · Netherlands
Ajax vs AZ Alkmaar
Saturday, 31 October 2026
Upcoming. The scheduled start is still ahead. Match status has not been confirmed live.Match preview
The model makes AZ Alkmaar favourites at 42% (Ajax 38%, draw 20%). That rests on 7 wins from the last 10 meetings to 0. Bookmakers give AZ Alkmaar about 27% once their margin is removed, so the model is more confident than the market. It puts over 2.5 goals at 65% and both teams scoring at 64%.
Key facts
- Ajax scored in every one of their last 10 matches.
- Ajax have scored in all of their last 6 home games.
- Ajax average 2.67 goals a game at home.
- Ajax are 4th in Eredivisie on 18 points from 9 games; AZ Alkmaar are 2nd on 20.
- They last met on 8 Feb 2026, when it finished 1-1.
Netherlands•Eredivisie
vs
Saturday, 31 October 2026 at 23:00
Upcoming. The scheduled start is still ahead. Match status has not been confirmed live.H2H: 0-3-7
Last 10 matches
1010
31/1520/11
3.102.00
1.501.10
10/108/10
7/106/10
8/107/10
5/104/10
2/103/10
0/102/10
10/108/10
8/105/10
8/105/10
Home & away form · from last 10 matches
Ajax at homeaz Alkmaar away
66
3/63/6
2/61/6
1/62/6
2.671.83
1.671.17
6/64/6
4/64/6
2/62/6
5/64/6
3/63/6
1/62/6
0/62/6
4/63/6
5/62/6
Model Prediction
Expected Goals
Ajax: 1.8
Expected Goals
az Alkmaar: 1.9
Ajax
38%
Draw
20%
az Alkmaar
42%
Over 2.5: 65%
BTTS: 64%
Quality: high
Market Odds (1X2)
Vig 7.3%
1 — Ajax
1.87▲
Implied 50%
Edge -11.8%
X
4.10▲
Implied 23%
Edge -2.7%
2 — AZ Alkmaar
3.40▼
Implied 27%
Edge +14.6%
Edge = model probability − market implied probability. Positive edge means the model rates that outcome higher than the bookmaker.
Team 1 Form
Ajax · # = league position now
22 Oct2026
Ajax#4 vs Atalanta#11
2-0W
18 Oct2026
Groningen#7 vs Ajax#4
2-5W
15 Oct2026
Hajduk Split#1 vs Ajax#4
2-1L
10 Oct2026
Ajax#4 vs Nijmegen#12
1-1D
19 Sept2026
Ajax#4 vs Excelsior#10
2-2D
15 Sept2026
Ajax#4 vs Willem ii#18
5-1W
12 Sept2026
Sittard#6 vs Ajax#4
1-5W
05 Sept2026
Ajax#4 vs Psv#3
1-3L
30 Aug2026
Telstar#17 vs Ajax#4
0-4W
27 Aug2026
Ajax#4 vs Sion#3
5-3W
Team 2 Form
az Alkmaar · # = league position now
22 Oct2026
Ararat-armenia#36 vs az Alkmaar#2
0-4W
18 Oct2026
Cambuur#14 vs az Alkmaar#2
2-2D
15 Oct2026
az Alkmaar#2 vs h. Beer Sheva#30
2-1W
10 Oct2026
Feyenoord#1 vs az Alkmaar#2
2-0L
20 Sept2026
az Alkmaar#2 vs Telstar#17
1-0W
16 Sept2026
Sunderland#20 vs az Alkmaar#2
1-0L
11 Sept2026
az Alkmaar#2 vs Willem ii#18
1-1D
06 Sept2026
Heerenveen#9 vs az Alkmaar#2
2-3W
29 Aug2026
az Alkmaar#2 vs G.a. Eagles#8
5-2W
22 Aug2026
Sittard#6 vs az Alkmaar#2
0-2W
Head-to-Head
Last 10 · # = league position now
08 Feb2026
az Alkmaar#2 vs Ajax#4
1-1•
14 Jan2026
az Alkmaar#2 vs Ajax#4
6-0•
18 Oct2025
Ajax#4 vs az Alkmaar#2
0-2•
16 Mar2025
Ajax#4 vs az Alkmaar#2
2-2•
14 Jan2025
az Alkmaar#2 vs Ajax#4
2-0•
08 Dec2024
az Alkmaar#2 vs Ajax#4
2-1•
25 Feb2024
az Alkmaar#2 vs Ajax#4
2-0•
08 Oct2023
Ajax#4 vs az Alkmaar#2
1-2•
06 May2023
Ajax#4 vs az Alkmaar#2
0-0•
18 Sept2022
az Alkmaar#2 vs Ajax#4
2-1•
Upcoming matches
# = league position now
Ajax
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