Feyenoord vs Excelsior

Match preview

The model makes Feyenoord favourites at 77% (Excelsior 11%, draw 12%). That rests on expected goals of 3.12 to 1.11, Feyenoord sitting 1st in the table to Excelsior's 10th, 7 wins in Feyenoord's last 10 matches to 4 for Excelsior and 9 wins from the last 10 meetings to 1. It puts over 2.5 goals at 83% and both teams scoring at 65%.

Key facts

• Excelsior have gone 5 matches without a win.
• Over 2.5 goals came in 8 of Feyenoord's last 10 matches and 10 of Excelsior's.
• They last met on 15 Mar 2026, when Feyenoord won 2-1.
• 8 of the last 10 meetings had three or more goals.