Daily picks

Leones Quilpue vs Puerto Montt

Country

Chile

League

LNB - Clausura - Losers

Match time

Sun, Oct 11, 02:30 GMT+3

Estimated probability: 74%. Leones Quilpue are 9-1 over the last 10 (85-74 avg) vs 8-2 for the opponent (84-78); H2H 8-2; form model 76%. Main risk: no bookmaker price to cross-check.

Sydney vs Adelaide

Country

Australia

League

NBL

Match time

Sun, Oct 11, 07:00 GMT+3

Estimated probability: 70%. Projection Sydney 84%; Sydney 7-2 last 10; H2H 6-4. Main risk: Adelaide early-season improvement.

Utsunomiya Brex vs Akita

Country

Japan

League

B.League Premier

Match time

Sun, Oct 11, 09:05 GMT+3

Estimated probability: 72%. Projection Utsunomiya Brex 85%; H2H 9-1; Akita 2-8 last 10. Main risk: Brex only 5-5 in last 10.

Ibaraki Robots vs Diamond Dolphins

Country

Japan

League

B.League Premier

Match time

Sun, Oct 11, 09:05 GMT+3

Estimated probability: 74%. Projection Diamond Dolphins 74%; Dolphins 8-2 last 10; H2H 9-1; Ibaraki 2-7. Main risk: road game.

Titan Ultra Giant Risers vs Converge FiberXers

Country

Philippines

League

PBA Governors' Cup

Match time

Sun, Oct 11, 12:15 GMT+3

Estimated probability: 74%. Projection Converge FiberXers 86%; Converge 6-4, Titan 2-8; H2H 3-0. Main risk: Converge inconsistency.

Amyntas W vs Olympiacos W

Country

Greece

League

A1 Women

Match time

Sun, Oct 11, 13:00 GMT+3

Estimated probability: 75%. Projection Olympiacos W 77%; Olympiacos 6-0 in H2H; Amyntas 3-7. Main risk: road game.

BC Dnipro vs Kyiv Basket

Country

Ukraine

League

FBU Superleague

Match time

Sun, Oct 11, 13:00 GMT+3

Estimated probability: 80%. Projection BC Dnipro 90%; Dnipro 10-0 last 10; H2H 8-2. Main risk: Kyiv Basket 6-4 can stay close.

Olympiacos vs Kolossos Rhodes

Country

Greece

League

Basket League

Match time

Sun, Oct 11, 13:00 GMT+3

Estimated probability: 85%. Projection Olympiacos 86%; H2H 10-0; Olympiacos 8-2. Main risk: rotation in a domestic game.

Real Madrid vs Manresa

Country

Spain

League

ACB

Match time

Sun, Oct 11, 13:00 GMT+3

Estimated probability: 74%. Projection Real Madrid 74%; Madrid 7-3; H2H 8-2. Main risk: Manresa 5-5 and dangerous from three.

Duga W vs ZKK Kraljevo W

Country

Serbia

League

1. ZLS Women

Match time

Sun, Oct 11, 13:00 GMT+3

Estimated probability: 74%. Projection ZKK Kraljevo W 80%; Duga 1-9 last 10; Kraljevo 7-3 in H2H. Main risk: Kraljevo only 5-5 last 10.

Real Madrid vs Manresa

Country

Spain

League

ACB

Match time

Sun, Oct 11, 13:00 GMT+3

Estimated probability: 72%. Real Madrid are 7/10 since September and won all four listed home games, including 86-76 over Partizan and 121-80 over Baskonia. Manresa are 3/8 and lost their latest two away games 78-93 at PAOK and 92-107 at Bilbao. Madrid won the latest three home H2Hs. Main risk: Manresa just beat Ulm 101-89 and won the most recent H2H 94-87; Madrid have had several narrow wins and played October8. Model 74% is modestly reduced.

Caja 87 vs Fuenlabrada

Country

Spain

League

Primera FEB

Match time

Sun, Oct 11, 13:30 GMT+3

Estimated probability: 72%. Projection Caja 87 84%; Caja 87 7-3 vs Fuenlabrada 2-8. Main risk: no H2H sample.

Celta W vs Zaragoza W

Country

Spain

League

Liga Femenina Women

Match time

Sun, Oct 11, 13:30 GMT+3

Estimated probability: 74%. Projection Zaragoza W 79%; Zaragoza won 8 of 10 H2H. Main risk: Zaragoza only 6-4 last 10.

Ginasio Olhanense vs Lusitania

Country

Portugal

League

Proliga

Match time

Sun, Oct 11, 13:30 GMT+3

Estimated probability: 78%. Projection Lusitania 77%; Lusitania 10-0 last 10; Olhanense 2-8. Main risk: no H2H sample.

Melilla vs Ponferrada

Country

Spain

League

Segunda FEB

Match time

Sun, Oct 11, 13:30 GMT+3

Estimated probability: 74%. Melilla have won all four current games by 11-37 points, including 70-59 at CBC Valladolid and 90-76 at Moron. Ponferrada lost both current away games, 70-75 at Leonesa and 60-88 at CBC Valladolid. Main risk: only four current games each and one Melilla home game are available; Ponferrada just beat Spanish Basketball Academy 94-86 and won the latest, older H2H 59-58. Model 69% is secondary to the current opponent and venue evidence.

Prat Joventut vs Molina Basket

Country

Spain

League

Segunda FEB

Match time

Sun, Oct 11, 13:30 GMT+3

Estimated probability: 69%. Prat are 3/4 since September, including 81-63 away at Clavijo and 82-76 at home to Castello. Molina have lost all four current games, including away losses 59-67 to Gandia and 59-89 to Cartagena. Main risk: Prat lost their latest home game 71-79 to Sol Girones Bisbal, another win was only 69-66 at Benicarlo, and four-game samples with no H2H limit certainty; model 77% is reduced.

Murcia vs Tenerife

Country

Spain

League

ACB

Match time

Sun, Oct 11, 13:30 GMT+3

Estimated probability: 70%. Murcia won all three current home games, including 100-94 over Barcelona and 85-58 over Varese. Tenerife are 3/7 since September and 1/4 away, most recently losing 77-89 at London Lions. Murcia won the latest H2H 86-80. Main risk: Tenerife recently won 80-75 at Unicaja, won several older H2Hs and remain competitive; Murcia lost two of their three current away games, so the venue evidence and model 75% are discounted.

Huddinge W vs Kvarnby Lions W

Country

Sweden

League

Basketettan Women

Match time

Sun, Oct 11, 14:00 GMT+3

Estimated probability: 70%. Projection Kvarnby Lions W 73%; Kvarnby 6-0 in H2H. Main risk: Huddinge also 7-3 last 10.

Pyrinto II W vs Pantterit W

Country

Finland

League

I Divisioona Women

Match time

Sun, Oct 11, 14:00 GMT+3

Estimated probability: 72%. Projection Pyrinto II W 86%; H2H 7-1; Pantterit 2-8. Main risk: reserve side roster swings.

Steiermark vs Raiders Tirol

Country

Austria

League

Zweite Liga

Match time

Sun, Oct 11, 14:00 GMT+3

Estimated probability: 72%. Projection Raiders Tirol 77%; Raiders 6-0 in H2H. Main risk: Raiders only 5-5 last 10.

Djurgarden vs Cross Over

Country

Sweden

League

Superettan

Match time

Sun, Oct 11, 15:00 GMT+3

Estimated probability: 70%. Projection Djurgarden 86%; Cross Over 0-4 so far. Main risk: small opponent sample.

Zenit Petersburg vs Saratov

Country

Russia

League

VTB United League

Match time

Sun, Oct 11, 15:00 GMT+3

Estimated probability: 70%. Projection Zenit Petersburg 80%; H2H 10-0. Main risk: Zenit only 3-7 last 10.

Baden W vs Nyon W

Country

Switzerland

League

SB League Women

Match time

Sun, Oct 11, 15:30 GMT+3

Estimated probability: 72%. Projection Nyon W 70%; Nyon 10-0 last 10; H2H 9-1. Main risk: Baden 8-2 in good form.

Malbas Malmo 2 W vs Sodertalje 2 W

Country

Sweden

League

Basketettan Women

Match time

Sun, Oct 11, 15:30 GMT+3

Estimated probability: 82%. Projection Sodertalje 2 W 79%; Sodertalje 9-1; Malmo 2-8. Main risk: reserve roster changes.

Dziki Warszawa vs Lublin

Country

Poland

League

Basket Liga

Match time

Sun, Oct 11, 16:00 GMT+3

Estimated probability: 80%. Projection Dziki Warszawa 91%; Dziki 7-3 vs Lublin 2-8; H2H 6-3. Main risk: Lublin upset potential.

Lulea W vs Brahe W

Country

Sweden

League

Basketligan Women

Match time

Sun, Oct 11, 16:00 GMT+3

Estimated probability: 88%. Projection Lulea W 96%; Lulea 9-1; Brahe 3-7. Main risk: short H2H sample.

Fenerbahce 2 vs Mersin SK

Country

Turkey

League

TBL

Match time

Sun, Oct 11, 16:00 GMT+3

Estimated probability: 74%. Mersin won all six current games, including 92-70 over Gaziantep and away wins 100-70 at Ankaragucu and 87-72 at OGM Ormanspor. Fenerbahce2 are 3/7 and lost their latest three, including 51-74 at Harem and 68-81 at home to CO Basket. Main risk: Mersin won their latest away game at iLab only 81-78, available H2Hs are from 2024 or earlier and Fenerbahce2 won the last H2H at this venue. The model 74% is secondary to current form.

Keltern W vs Syntainics MBC W

Country

Germany

League

DBBL Women

Match time

Sun, Oct 11, 17:00 GMT+3

Estimated probability: 80%. Projection Keltern W 85%; Keltern 8-2; H2H 4-0. Main risk: MBC 5-5 can compete.

Nevezis vs Zalgiris Kaunas

Country

Lithuania

League

LKL

Match time

Sun, Oct 11, 17:00 GMT+3

Estimated probability: 88%. Projection Zalgiris Kaunas 90%; Zalgiris 10-0 in H2H; Nevezis 0-10. Main risk: Zalgiris rotation.

TNT Towers vs Fyllingen

Country

Norway

League

BLNO

Match time

Sun, Oct 11, 17:00 GMT+3

Estimated probability: 90%. Projection Fyllingen 97%; TNT 0-10; H2H 5-0. Main risk: road game.

Viimsi vs Valmiera Glass Via

Country

Europe

League

Latvian-Estonian League

Match time

Sun, Oct 11, 17:00 GMT+3

Estimated probability: 78%. Projection Valmiera Glass Via 84%; Valmiera 8-2; Viimsi 1-9. Main risk: H2H only 5-5 overall.

Visby W vs Norrkoping W

Country

Sweden

League

Basketligan Women

Match time

Sun, Oct 11, 17:00 GMT+3

Estimated probability: 88%. Projection Norrkoping W 94%; H2H 10-0; Visby 0-10. Main risk: Norrkoping only 5-5 last 10.

Viimsi vs Valmiera Glass Via

Country

Europe

League

Latvian-Estonian League

Match time

Sun, Oct 11, 17:00 GMT+3

Estimated probability: 76%. Valmiera have won 4/5 current games, including 106-82 away at Keila KK and 82-73 at Rigas Juniori, plus 98-76 over Ventspils. Viimsi are 1/5 and lost their latest home games 64-85 to Tal Tech and 66-89 to Kalev. Valmiera won the latest two H2Hs by 30 and 26 points. Main risk: Valmiera just lost 77-79 at Bashkimi, have only five current games, and several wins came against weaker opposition; model 84% is discounted.

Nevezis vs Zalgiris Kaunas

Country

Lithuania

League

LKL

Match time

Sun, Oct 11, 17:00 GMT+3

Estimated probability: 80%. Zalgiris are 7/10 in current games, including 88-81 at Barcelona, 97-68 over Lietkabelis and 93-69 away at Neptunas. Nevezis lost all five current games, including 62-89 at Neptunas and 76-81 at Taurage. Zalgiris won all ten listed H2Hs. Main risk: Zalgiris played away on October9 and travel or rotation could matter; Nevezis have only one current home result, while Zalgiris lost three of ten against stronger opposition. Model 90% is reduced.

TNT Towers vs Fyllingen

Country

Norway

League

BLNO

Match time

Sun, Oct 11, 17:00 GMT+3

Estimated probability: 82%. TNT Towers lost all four current games, including 58-102 to Ammerud, 60-121 at Froya and 75-96 to Gimle. Fyllingen beat Nidaros 142-61 away yesterday and Tromso 110-68; they won the latest five H2Hs, including 134-56 and 159-64 in March. Main risk: Fyllingen play on consecutive days and are only 3/6 overall, losing to Gimle and two international opponents; the 81-point outlier cannot represent normal strength. Model 97% is heavily reduced.

Keila Coolbet vs Ventspils

Country

Europe

League

Latvian-Estonian League

Match time

Sun, Oct 11, 17:30 GMT+3

Estimated probability: 72%. Projection Ventspils 73%; Keila 1-9; H2H 3-1 Ventspils. Main risk: Ventspils 5-5 last 10.

TK Hannover W vs Eigner Angels Nordlingen W

Country

Germany

League

DBBL Women

Match time

Sun, Oct 11, 17:30 GMT+3

Estimated probability: 74%. Projection TK Hannover W 82%; H2H 8-2; Nordlingen 1-9. Main risk: Hannover 4-6 last 10.

Keila Coolbet vs Ventspils

Country

Europe

League

Latvian-Estonian League

Match time

Sun, Oct 11, 17:30 GMT+3

Estimated probability: 71%. Ventspils won their latest three current games, including 86-73 at Kalev yesterday and 108-92 at Latvijas Universitate. Keila Coolbet lost all five current games, including home losses 77-85 to Latvijas and 71-94 to Rigas Zelli. Ventspils won the latest three H2Hs. Main risk: Ventspils play on consecutive days, have only four current games and lost 76-98 at Valmiera; the last H2H at this venue was only 81-80. Model 73% is reduced.

Gimle vs Baerum

Country

Norway

League

BLNO

Match time

Sun, Oct 11, 18:00 GMT+3

Estimated probability: 80%. Projection Gimle 89%; Gimle 7-3 vs Baerum 2-8; H2H 7-3. Main risk: derby variance.

Helios VS W vs Fribourg W

Country

Switzerland

League

SB League Women

Match time

Sun, Oct 11, 18:00 GMT+3

Estimated probability: 76%. Projection Fribourg W 73%; Fribourg 10-0 in H2H. Main risk: Fribourg 6-4 last 10.

Mechelen W vs Phantoms W

Country

Belgium

League

Top Division Women

Match time

Sun, Oct 11, 18:00 GMT+3

Estimated probability: 88%. Projection Mechelen W 94%; Mechelen 10-0 last 10 and 10-0 H2H. Main risk: blowout-rotation risk minimal.

Saarlouis W vs Freiburg W

Country

Germany

League

DBBL Women

Match time

Sun, Oct 11, 18:00 GMT+3

Estimated probability: 70%. Projection Saarlouis W 83%; Saarlouis 6-4 vs Freiburg 3-7. Main risk: H2H 5-5.

Zwolle W vs Den Helder W

Country

Netherlands

League

WBL Women

Match time

Sun, Oct 11, 18:00 GMT+3

Estimated probability: 78%. Projection Den Helder W 77%; Den Helder 6-0 H2H; Zwolle 3-7. Main risk: road game.

Gimle vs Baerum

Country

Norway

League

BLNO

Match time

Sun, Oct 11, 18:00 GMT+3

Estimated probability: 78%. Gimle won all four current games, including 103-60 over Tromso and 80-68 away at Fyllingen. Baerum are 1/5 and lost their latest three by 19-40 points, including 75-106 at Froya yesterday. Gimle won the latest H2H 92-80. Main risk: only one current Gimle home game is available and Baerum won the previous H2H at this venue 81-76; the four-game current Gimle sample reduces the model 89% estimate.

Hapoel Petah Tikva W vs Hapoel Rishon LeZion W

Country

Israel

League

WBL Women

Match time

Sun, Oct 11, 18:10 GMT+3

Estimated probability: 86%. Projection Hapoel Rishon LeZion W 92%; Rishon 10-0 last 10; H2H 8-2. Main risk: road game.

Anwil Wloclawek vs Czarni Slupsk

Country

Poland

League

Basket Liga

Match time

Sun, Oct 11, 18:30 GMT+3

Estimated probability: 74%. Projection Anwil Wloclawek 77%; H2H 9-1; Czarni 2-8. Main risk: Anwil 5-5 last 10.

DBB Wels W vs Vienna Timberwolves W

Country

Austria

League

Superliga Women

Match time

Sun, Oct 11, 18:30 GMT+3

Estimated probability: 72%. Projection DBB Wels W 74%; H2H 8-2; Timberwolves 3-7. Main risk: Wels 6-4 last 10.

Duches Klosterneuburg W vs Linz W

Country

Austria

League

Superliga Women

Match time

Sun, Oct 11, 18:30 GMT+3

Estimated probability: 70%. Projection Duches Klosterneuburg W 80%; Klosterneuburg 9-1 last 10. Main risk: small Linz sample.

Ettelbruck vs Esch

Country

Luxembourg

League

LBBL

Match time

Sun, Oct 11, 18:30 GMT+3

Estimated probability: 78%. Projection Ettelbruck 87%; Ettelbruck 8-2 vs Esch 3-7. Main risk: H2H only 6-4.

Hapoel Beer Sheva vs Hapoel Tel Aviv

Country

Israel

League

Super League

Match time

Sun, Oct 11, 18:30 GMT+3

Estimated probability: 74%. Projection Hapoel Tel Aviv 72%; H2H 9-1 Tel Aviv; Beer Sheva 3-7. Main risk: road game.

Logrono vs Cartagena

Country

Spain

League

Segunda FEB

Match time

Sun, Oct 11, 18:30 GMT+3

Estimated probability: 73%. Logrono won all four current games by 10-23 points, including 81-67 at Molina and 79-69 at home to Clavijo. Cartagena are 2/4 and lost their only current away game 53-87 at Lliria. Main risk: only one current home game for Logrono and one away game for Cartagena are available, there is no H2H, and Cartagena just beat Iraurgi 93-86; model 77% is discounted.

TTT Riga Juniores W vs Siauliai W

Country

Lithuania

League

Moteru Lyga Women

Match time

Sun, Oct 11, 19:00 GMT+3

Estimated probability: 78%. Projection Siauliai W 84%; Siauliai 6-4 vs TTT juniors 1-9; H2H 2-0. Main risk: youth opponent variance.

Brixia W vs Derthona Basket W

Country

Italy

League

Serie A1 Women

Match time

Sun, Oct 11, 19:00 GMT+3

Estimated probability: 76%. Projection Derthona Basket W 79%; Derthona 7-3; H2H 8-2. Main risk: road game.

Broni W vs Venezia W

Country

Italy

League

Serie A1 Women

Match time

Sun, Oct 11, 19:00 GMT+3

Estimated probability: 82%. Projection Venezia W 80%; H2H 9-1; Broni 1-9. Main risk: Venezia 6-4 last 10.

Gorzow W vs Basket 25 Bydgoszcz W

Country

Poland

League

Basket Liga Women

Match time

Sun, Oct 11, 19:00 GMT+3

Estimated probability: 82%. Projection Gorzow W 89%; Gorzow 7-3; H2H 9-1. Main risk: Bydgoszcz pride game.

LKS Lodz vs Poznan

Country

Poland

League

1. Liga

Match time

Sun, Oct 11, 19:00 GMT+3

Estimated probability: 72%. Projection LKS Lodz 80%; LKS 7-3 vs Poznan 2-8. Main risk: H2H only 5-4.

Newcastle Eagles W vs Nottingham Wildcats W

Country

United Kingdom

League

SLB Women

Match time

Sun, Oct 11, 19:00 GMT+3

Estimated probability: 84%. Projection Newcastle Eagles W 90%; H2H 9-1; Nottingham 1-9. Main risk: Newcastle 6-4 last 10.

Svitavy vs Opava 2

Country

Czech Republic

League

1. Liga

Match time

Sun, Oct 11, 19:00 GMT+3

Estimated probability: 80%. Projection Svitavy 86%; Svitavy 7-3; H2H 7-1; Opava 2 2-8. Main risk: reserve-side roster swings.

Usti n. Labem vs Olomoucko

Country

Czech Republic

League

NBL

Match time

Sun, Oct 11, 19:00 GMT+3

Estimated probability: 78%. Projection Usti n. Labem 89%; Olomoucko 1-9 last 10. Main risk: H2H only 6-4.

Usti n. Labem vs Olomoucko

Country

Czech Republic

League

NBL

Match time

Sun, Oct 11, 19:00 GMT+3

Estimated probability: 77%. Usti have won four straight current games, including home wins 83-68 over Brno, 86-76 over Opava and 115-74 over Plzen. Olomoucko are 1/7 since September, with away losses 62-88 at Slavia Prague and 75-82 at Opava; their only win was by one point. Main risk: Usti lost 78-80 at home to Srsni Pisek and lost four of the last five H2Hs, despite winning the latest 100-82; the five-game current sample reduces model 89%.

Estudiantes vs Gipuzkoa

Country

Spain

League

Primera FEB

Match time

Sun, Oct 11, 19:30 GMT+3

Estimated probability: 80%. Projection Estudiantes 85%; H2H 9-1; Estudiantes 7-3. Main risk: Gipuzkoa upset potential.

Estudiantes vs Gipuzkoa

Country

Spain

League

Primera FEB

Match time

Sun, Oct 11, 19:30 GMT+3