Usti n. Labem vs Olomoucko

Published reasoning

Estimated probability: 77%. Usti have won four straight current games, including home wins 83-68 over Brno, 86-76 over Opava and 115-74 over Plzen. Olomoucko are 1/7 since September, with away losses 62-88 at Slavia Prague and 75-82 at Opava; their only win was by one point. Main risk: Usti lost 78-80 at home to Srsni Pisek and lost four of the last five H2Hs, despite winning the latest 100-82; the five-game current sample reduces model 89%.